Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b31cf24968b32a622dd2007940b637a11fb6b5e1a8be7c25b773d9f2e8c0e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd5d…05f7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,319$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.55 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 20c | 799.37$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 64c | 757.33$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 58c | 683.97$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.04 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 42c | 671.89$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 50c | 449.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 407.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 63c | 387.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 37c | 364.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 345.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 61c | 342.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 339.62$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 40c | 334.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 15c | 327$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 34c | 316.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…9ef2backed Yes | 19c | 300.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 73c | 293.94$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 63c | 285.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 43c | 280.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a85ebacked No | 67c | 275.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 272.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 25c | 268.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 66c | 258.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 37c | 243.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 13c | 237.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 51c | 237.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…6c35backed Yes | 44c | 225.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cdeebacked Yes | 12c | 223.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 223.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 41c | 189.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 61c | 189.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 38c | 180.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 64c | 174.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…aac7backed Yes | 62c | 173.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 172.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 49c | 165.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 41c | 162.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 53c | 160.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 34c | 155.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked No | 58c | 153.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…89b9backed Yes | 31c | 152.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 13c | 142$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 51c | 138.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 28c | 131.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 61c | 131$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…db42backed Yes | 35c | 130.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 32c | 126.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 65c | 124.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 54c | 123.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 121.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 41c | 120.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 119.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 115$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked Yes | 42c | 114.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 34c | 114.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 110.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 59c | 107$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 53c | 104.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 40c | 102.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 39c | 102.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 101.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…0884backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…eca1backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 43c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c40…8ef9backed Yes | 23c | 94.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 45c | 93.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…5013backed Yes | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 87.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…f1abbacked Yes | 41c | 84.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 61c | 82.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 80.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 61c | 79.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 14c | 79.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 27c | 77.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 25c | 76.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 76.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 58c | 76.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…b5f1backed Yes | 54c | 75.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 38c | 70.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 22c | 69.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 64c | 69.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 44c | 68.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 43c | 67.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 50c | 65.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 55c | 65.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…5628backed No | 62c | 64.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 67c | 64.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.