Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab1d5960344045d134ee9a1c0389d29c92075a16aa7702cfcb14c6cff7f901b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 35c | 1,044$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.99 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 807.37$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 23c | 542.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.26 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 20c | 521.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 37c | 519.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.37 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 53c | 508.62$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 55c | 508.26$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 59c | 499.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 37c | 487.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 452.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 50c | 447.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.48 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 74c | 406.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 386.59$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 18c | 340.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 315.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 32c | 305.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 49c | 304.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…49a1backed No | 78c | 302.11$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 39c | 291.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 6c | 286.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 255.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.07 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 56c | 247.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 240.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.93 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 230.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 50c | 189.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 25c | 185.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…89b9backed Yes | 67c | 178.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 30c | 173.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 58c | 165.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 41c | 164.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 46c | 162.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 29c | 162.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 79c | 158.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 152.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…fc4cbacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 26c | 148.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 47c | 141.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 37c | 133.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 133$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 48c | 125.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 25c | 121.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…85f7backed Yes | 34c | 121.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 119.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 118.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 25c | 109.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 107.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b3e7backed Yes | 23c | 106.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cdeebacked Yes | 23c | 105.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 23c | 105$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 46c | 104.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 43c | 102.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4320…4a44backed No | 15c | 101.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 43c | 101.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…a73abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…7ddabacked Yes | 25c | 99.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +147%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 95.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked Yes | 26c | 94.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…780fbacked Yes | 74c | 94.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 61c | 93.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 46c | 89.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 58c | 86.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…6475backed Yes | 49c | 84.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 42c | 83.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 43c | 80.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 80.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 61c | 79.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 44c | 78.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 27c | 75.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 52c | 75.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…3d06backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 57c | 68.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 73c | 68.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…6240backed Yes | 21c | 68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 38c | 66.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 23c | 65.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…1a12backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…b9d7backed Yes | 34c | 64.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 43c | 62.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 64c | 62.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 40c | 61.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 25c | 61.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 48c | 60.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 40c | 60.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 54c | 60.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 39c | 57.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 51c | 57.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 73c | 56.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 79c | 56.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 60c | 53.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.