Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b54b5df0a638175fd61a90f9117e1d591983ebe319c53be46ee7448902186db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked GIANTX | 59c | 12,746$7,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493.23 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 10,731$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.35 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 887.98$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.27 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed GIANTX | 56c | 699.77$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 679.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.26 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed GIANTX | 59c | 659.76$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.26 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked GIANTX | 56c | 607.27$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed GIANTX | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 333.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 277.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 274$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 252.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a92…52f8backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 239.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed GIANTX | 52c | 236.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 233.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed GIANTX | 56c | 221.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…d248backed GIANTX | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 121.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 120.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed GIANTX | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 63.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed GIANTX | 50c | 61.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed GIANTX | 58c | 57.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…7058backed GIANTX | 59c | 57.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed GIANTX | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0381…00f6backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 51.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed GIANTX | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…7d07backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfb…a2d7backed GIANTX | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed GIANTX | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GIANTX | 59c | 34.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…2ee8backed GIANTX | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed GIANTX | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed GIANTX | 39c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…b54ebacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 33.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed GIANTX | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…7fa7backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 27.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed GIANTX | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed GIANTX | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1this page
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.