CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14ce745b70b2f5cf7b00ffcec5da8cf020fd72ee64ba31ad60a55198bcdeb2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detonateof Detonate, Iowa Stormboar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a2…d3fcbacked Iowa Stormboar | 6c | 1,538$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Iowa Stormboar | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Detonate | 65c | 1,301$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.09 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Detonate | 45c | 1,216$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.62 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Iowa Stormboar | 46c | 513.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Detonate | 31c | 463.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.34 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…cd93backed Detonate | 43c | 317.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Stormboar | 36c | 288.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed Detonate | 57c | 267.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Iowa Stormboar | 74c | 247.21$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Detonate | 7c | 207.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Detonate | 23c | 202.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Iowa Stormboar | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Iowa Stormboar | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Iowa Stormboar | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 185.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Iowa Stormboar | 31c | 184.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Detonate | 32c | 172.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Iowa Stormboar | 63c | 171.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Iowa Stormboar | 68c | 171.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Iowa Stormboar | 51c | 156.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Detonate | 34c | 152.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Iowa Stormboar | 65c | 152.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Iowa Stormboar | 25c | 150.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Detonate | 69c | 145.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Iowa Stormboar | 55c | 142.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Iowa Stormboar | 31c | 132.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Iowa Stormboar | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 120.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Iowa Stormboar | 72c | 110.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…8899backed Iowa Stormboar | 76c | 104.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Detonate | 41c | 103.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b6…1ce6backed Detonate | 38c | 101.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Iowa Stormboar | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Detonate | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Iowa Stormboar | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iowa Stormboar | 59c | 81.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…cd6fbacked Detonate | 28c | 80.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Iowa Stormboar | 77c | 74.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Detonate | 23c | 74.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Detonate | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Iowa Stormboar | 50c | 59.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Detonate | 37c | 55.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detonate | 50c | 54.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Detonate | 41c | 53.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Iowa Stormboar | 76c | 53.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Iowa Stormboar | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Iowa Stormboar | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Detonate | 23c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…7058backed Iowa Stormboar | 51c | 47.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Iowa Stormboar | 53c | 45.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Detonate | 40c | 34.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe525…9ecbbacked Detonate | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Iowa Stormboar | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Detonate | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked Detonate | 67c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Iowa Stormboar | 75c | 21.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 WinnerDetonate won
- Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 WinnerIowa Stormboar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.