TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Heroic, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Gentle Mates42c15,661$6,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,127.4975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdc…441cbacked Heroic0c15,040$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Heroic60c13,613$8,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,167.815947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Gentle Mates39c12,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,319.9636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic61c11,475$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Gentle Mates67c10,553$7,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.4537157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gentle Mates50c10,510$5,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,263.2884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic48c10,000$4,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,76864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Gentle Mates40c9,816$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.9716245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Heroic51c8,459$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,328.4314044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Heroic52c8,171$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,237.0667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Gentle Mates65c7,494$4,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.928748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Gentle Mates44c7,445$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,168.1384958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Heroic60c6,618$3,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.3529858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic7c5,223$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.621,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic58c4,515$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.645,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Heroic12c4,423$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5414947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Gentle Mates42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.952857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic33c3,926$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.973,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Heroic4c3,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Heroic61c3,279$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic50c3,210$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6041,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Heroic58c2,810$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.2913760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Gentle Mates42c2,801$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.573154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic31c2,477$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.334,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Gentle Mates40c2,407$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.3420946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates57c2,161$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.831,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Heroic35c2,130$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23c…07cebacked Heroic34c2,078$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Heroic26c2,021$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.4887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Heroic33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Heroic60c1,650$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9907441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Heroic61c1,629$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed Heroic59c1,579$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.841145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Heroic58c1,519$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.126743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Heroic34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic30c1,500$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.452,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Gentle Mates40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9719346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Gentle Mates43c1,484$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.7727552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dd…f476backed Heroic35c1,397$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.972951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic57c1,314$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.111,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Heroic55c1,269$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates49c1,250$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.51,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Gentle Mates41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5110739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Heroic48c1,149$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3919030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Heroic61c1,139$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.794949%24 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Gentle Mates43c1,128$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.86544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates49c1,003$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.5388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Heroic30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.61,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Gentle Mates40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Gentle Mates41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Gentle Mates41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9918846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Gentle Mates42c943.72$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.3615740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Heroic38c907.53$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.057545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Gentle Mates42c888$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic24c833.76$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.236,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Heroic61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Heroic61c817$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010055%55 W · 45 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Gentle Mates42c771$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1810062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Heroic18c750.7$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.63,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede3…2f81backed Heroic33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b67…e56cbacked Gentle Mates43c682.86$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.232445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic4c679.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.812,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Heroic61c669.64$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.486256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Heroic60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Heroic58c652.91$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6942845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Gentle Mates45c652.08$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.418261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Gentle Mates42c640.13$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.2813053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Gentle Mates54c623.15$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Gentle Mates41c619.37$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0955843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Gentle Mates40c612.95$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8120643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Heroic48c609.99$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.41,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Heroic58c604.18$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.452,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed Heroic60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Gentle Mates41c573.97$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.164854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Gentle Mates43c563.72$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.328751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Gentle Mates40c562.5$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.552636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic18c550.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.781,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d6…90dfbacked Heroic61c540.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic53c508.26$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.942,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Heroic60c500.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5927744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Heroic59c500.05$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0367651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Gentle Mates42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2908933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Gentle Mates42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29012045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Gentle Mates39c499.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30553444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Gentle Mates42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9910352.4%54 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Heroic22c499.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5328143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Gentle Mates39c474.01$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Gentle Mates40c454.9$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9428738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates40c437.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic31c422.09$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.615,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic58c411.91$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.192,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Gentle Mates56c407$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.061,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed Heroic58c406.9$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23614237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Gentle Mates42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2324654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gentle Mates67c400$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.361,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Gentle Mates41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2363458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Heroic59c395.67$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.088949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Gentle Mates48c357.33$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1842154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.