CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd710a410a074b8711f72f83951df2f2302a0e1e4417ef6facacddb2fe80e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 589.73$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 69c | 320.14$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 32c | 273.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 69c | 178.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 145.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 35c | 144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 24c | 134.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 53c | 106.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 53.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 59c | 51.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 41c | 47.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked Over | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 66c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.