CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x531902bd74b6e5034f7310ece13652c886b2dbd6526b47c37b93a0f1e6c33453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Heroic, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 2,396$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.09 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 16c | 2,372$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 44c | 2,255$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.91 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Heroic | 32c | 1,167$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.96 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Heroic | 20c | 1,084$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 864.11$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 59c | 590.47$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 523.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.95 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Heroic | 4c | 355.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 349.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 332$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 327.4$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 53c | 316.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 227.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 226.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Heroic | 30c | 197.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 195.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic | 11c | 162.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Heroic | 32c | 159.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 157.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…b865backed Heroic | 9c | 149.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Heroic | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Heroic | 53c | 107.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Heroic | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 82.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Heroic | 53c | 65.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 54.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed Heroic | 51c | 49.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 47.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Heroic | 24c | 45.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Heroic | 49c | 39.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Heroic | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 29.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Heroic | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.