CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35d7fe4e39275440b014f5859f82575849f86f14e8db86a162d7c733d10923b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof AM Gaming, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1661…4b37backed AM Gaming | 43c | 4,483$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.46 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed AM Gaming | 29c | 2,534$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.6 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 71c | 2,055$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.78 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Walczaki | 68c | 479.97$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Walczaki | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Walczaki | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Walczaki | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Walczaki | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Walczaki | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Walczaki | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Walczaki | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed AM Gaming | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 32c | 245$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Walczaki | 71c | 233.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Walczaki | 55c | 230.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed AM Gaming | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Walczaki | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Walczaki | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Walczaki | 70c | 181.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 71c | 181.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Walczaki | 71c | 173$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Walczaki | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Walczaki | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Walczaki | 54c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed Walczaki | 54c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Walczaki | 71c | 110.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Walczaki | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Walczaki | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 249 | 43%107 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Walczaki | 57c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed AM Gaming | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 75c | 54.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Walczaki | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Walczaki | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…7058backed Walczaki | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AM Gaming | 31c | 41.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Walczaki | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Walczaki | 60c | 23.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Walczaki | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Walczaki | 71c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.