CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2807ecbd2b03a7901f659015a35dff4d09caf95a71dd30ec441051e13307dd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof AM Gaming, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Walczaki | 57c | 2,050$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.28 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AM Gaming | 54c | 1,960$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Walczaki | 49c | 1,431$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Walczaki | 41c | 1,287$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.29 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 55c | 1,270$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked AM Gaming | 38c | 860$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.61 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Walczaki | 41c | 588.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed AM Gaming | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked AM Gaming | 31c | 379.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed AM Gaming | 59c | 221$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Walczaki | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Walczaki | 41c | 186.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 179.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed AM Gaming | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed AM Gaming | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked AM Gaming | 42c | 127$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 66c | 110.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed AM Gaming | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed AM Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed AM Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Walczaki | 41c | 90.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed AM Gaming | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AM Gaming | 61c | 71.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Walczaki | 43c | 59.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed AM Gaming | 38c | 56.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed AM Gaming | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed AM Gaming | 49c | 49.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…4ec3backed AM Gaming | 55c | 36.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Walczaki | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 48c | 26.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Walczaki | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.