Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6913eda96a885340246b738a46ff9f1f34439a083d6d5d1c494407c5e68e176e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Otakar Esports, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Barça eSports | 79c | 4,762$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…37c3backed Otakar Esports | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Otakar Esports | 15c | 2,521$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | +52.5wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Barça eSports | 80c | 1,666$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.84 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Otakar Esports | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Barça eSports | 78c | 900$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Otakar Esports | 21c | 586.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Otakar Esports | 20c | 580.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Otakar Esports | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Otakar Esports | 21c | 410.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Otakar Esports | 24c | 410$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 1,261 | 49.6%625 W · 636 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Barça eSports | 79c | 363.42$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Barça eSports | 79c | 357$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Otakar Esports | 21c | 355.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Barça eSports | 77c | 259$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Otakar Esports | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Otakar Esports | 21c | 232.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Otakar Esports | 21c | 190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Otakar Esports | 22c | 183.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Otakar Esports | 23c | 176.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Otakar Esports | 21c | 158.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,619 | 45.1%730 W · 889 L | -25.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Barça eSports | 79c | 131.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Otakar Esports | 15c | 124.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Otakar Esports | 24c | 118.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Otakar Esports | 19c | 114.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Barça eSports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…aff0backed Otakar Esports | 19c | 93.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Otakar Esports | 24c | 89.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Otakar Esports | 20c | 51.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Barça eSports | 80c | 51.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Barça eSports | 77c | 51.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Otakar Esports | 21c | 49.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 441 | 43.5%192 W · 249 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…98edbacked Barça eSports | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Barça eSports | 79c | 41.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 191 | 40.3%77 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Otakar Esports | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…dd07backed Barça eSports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Barça eSports | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…7058backed Barça eSports | 79c | 36.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…cb07backed Barça eSports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Barça eSports | 78c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Barça eSports | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Barça eSports | 80c | 13.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs Otakar Esports (+1.5)Barça eSports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs Barça eSports - Map 1 WinnerBarça eSports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs Barça eSports - Map 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.