CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc900f2d2c8b51e90ed0d9f52fe736fb2167680e3acffbe3a969c16cd5ee0182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaleido Gamingof Last Bullet, Kaleido Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Last Bullet | 35c | 742.29$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Last Bullet | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed Kaleido Gaming | 71c | 438.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Last Bullet | 44c | 436.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Last Bullet | 34c | 314.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Kaleido Gaming | 65c | 301.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Kaleido Gaming | 61c | 296.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Last Bullet | 48c | 271.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…e597backed Last Bullet | 28c | 199.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Kaleido Gaming | 66c | 196.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 49c | 175.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Last Bullet | 16c | 174.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Last Bullet | 35c | 133.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Kaleido Gaming | 68c | 117.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Kaleido Gaming | 66c | 112.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Last Bullet | 39c | 105.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Last Bullet | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Last Bullet | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 92.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…7c04backed Kaleido Gaming | 32c | 91.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Kaleido Gaming | 61c | 82.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 74.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Kaleido Gaming | 66c | 67.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…b037backed Kaleido Gaming | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a32…3d58backed Last Bullet | 44c | 33.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4303backed Last Bullet | 50c | 31.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Kaleido Gaming | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…7058backed Kaleido Gaming | 67c | 26.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708b…7d2abacked Kaleido Gaming | 63c | 22.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Kaleido Gaming | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 WinnerLast Bullet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.