CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704d679bd9794e4c55d7287adcc483b0bffde67e7448abea3530d9a0d17a98c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Last Bulletof Last Bullet, Kaleido Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Kaleido Gaming | 38c | 8,412$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.94 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed Last Bullet | 58c | 8,285$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.76 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Kaleido Gaming | 1c | 8,250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Kaleido Gaming | 49c | 6,131$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.96 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Last Bullet | 59c | 5,415$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.36 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 2,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.08 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Last Bullet | 62c | 1,800$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 1,392$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Last Bullet | 55c | 1,192$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.22 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaleido Gaming | 41c | 1,019$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…7c04backed Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Last Bullet | 60c | 805$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Last Bullet | 60c | 601.43$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Last Bullet | 58c | 480$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Kaleido Gaming | 49c | 376.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 285$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Kaleido Gaming | 49c | 237$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 232$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 223.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Last Bullet | 63c | 209.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 198.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Last Bullet | 47c | 181.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Last Bullet | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Last Bullet | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 154.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Kaleido Gaming | 53c | 139.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Kaleido Gaming | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Last Bullet | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed Kaleido Gaming | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +581.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Last Bullet | 41c | 50.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Kaleido Gaming | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Last Bullet | 46c | 45.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Last Bullet | 45c | 42.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Last Bullet | 66c | 37.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Last Bullet | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Last Bullet | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Last Bullet | 61c | 29.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group BKaleido Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.