TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overtakeof Wanted Goons, Overtake
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8430…3961backed Wanted Goons39c6,264$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.094940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Overtake80c2,713$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.413265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Overtake70c1,981$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.326972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Overtake60c1,216$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Overtake61c786.17$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.312,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Wanted Goons36c699.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25231345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Wanted Goons60c664.11$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.991030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Wanted Goons42c647.02$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27113351.1%68 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Overtake64c629.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7940449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed Wanted Goons38c518.13$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19712946.5%60 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Overtake75c478.53$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2516036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Wanted Goons38c460.83$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0520238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wanted Goons11c460.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6638037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a2…d3fcbacked Wanted Goons49c419.44$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Overtake59c402.12$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8860032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Wanted Goons32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Overtake59c381.6$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.762,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Overtake64c368.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.221,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wanted Goons22c365.71$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.671,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Overtake57c312.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.033,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Overtake59c289.34$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.843,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked Wanted Goons43c286$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed Overtake73c273$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.714257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Wanted Goons53c265.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.892,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Overtake43c260.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.631,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Wanted Goons44c225.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Wanted Goons36c221.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.922,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed Wanted Goons42c216.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.018758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Overtake60c214.72$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8336649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Wanted Goons47c208.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9311460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Wanted Goons14c207$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.381,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e3…8c11backed Overtake57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Overtake59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.293850%19 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8c…20e4backed Wanted Goons43c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff87…f5f7backed Wanted Goons42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Wanted Goons29c193.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9362738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Overtake53c176$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.92,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Overtake63c175.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.52962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Wanted Goons28c169.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.454,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Overtake57c154$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab20…cf93backed Wanted Goons65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Overtake69c143.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.964257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Overtake67c135.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Wanted Goons40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Wanted Goons33c123.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.422,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Overtake64c122.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2828455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Overtake74c115.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.369565.3%62 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ece…3b9bbacked Overtake78c103$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.194866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Wanted Goons23c103$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.597229.2%21 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Overtake62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3817538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Wanted Goons14c95.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.788330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Wanted Goons41c93.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d12…caf8backed Wanted Goons40c91.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e1…7da8backed Wanted Goons35c78.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked Overtake66c75.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.379753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Wanted Goons29c73.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.032,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Overtake61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4477351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Overtake53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1834147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Overtake58c68.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3827248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…9835backed Wanted Goons38c68.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.231844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x571a…1b2cbacked Overtake60c66.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.431070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Wanted Goons51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.647920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Overtake40c59.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8912334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Wanted Goons35c57.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.193,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Wanted Goons55c55.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.819762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe217…7058backed Wanted Goons51c55.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Overtake62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd007…8eedbacked Overtake60c49.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+78.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe525…9ecbbacked Wanted Goons42c43.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…396dbacked Overtake42c35.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Wanted Goons41c34.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Overtake61c32.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6612525.6%32 W · 93 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf8bf…db0abacked Overtake64c31.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Overtake64c30.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Wanted Goons34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbac…ecc4backed Overtake61c26.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2618841.5%78 W · 110 L-19.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdd9…8ee2backed Overtake71c25.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Overtake63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.227150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed Wanted Goons54c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8511958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Overtake64c19.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.265444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x830d…c2d4backed Overtake61c17.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Overtake67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.