TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Washington Nationals, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves53c88,888$47,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,777.361,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals47c47,410$22,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,282.693,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals44c33,880$14,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,859.144,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Atlanta Braves52c31,200$16,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,975.9177053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals43c28,971$12,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,39843554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Atlanta Braves53c16,981$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,981.134860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves53c13,208$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,207.551,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Atlanta Braves53c10,690$5,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,074.2813552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves57c8,937$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.6211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Atlanta Braves53c7,295$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.757651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Atlanta Braves58c6,015$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.515851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals0c5,400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.28762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Washington Nationals48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50030242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Washington Nationals47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3503548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals47c4,219$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.165,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals27c4,200$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.068,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals47c3,907$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.2969453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals47c3,854$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.14,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves58c3,633$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.882,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Washington Nationals48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60022948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227a…a09abacked Washington Nationals48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals48c2,708$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Washington Nationals48c2,579$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.093351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves71c2,423$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03475248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Washington Nationals48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8420455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves64c2,057$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.2410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Washington Nationals48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Atlanta Braves53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals47c1,839$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.321,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Washington Nationals48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals6c1,609$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7179442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2428753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2427952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Washington Nationals48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72011655.2%64 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Washington Nationals45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010465.4%68 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Washington Nationals48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Washington Nationals48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Washington Nationals48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Washington Nationals48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32a7…a84bbacked Washington Nationals1c1,038$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.015534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals47c1,024$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.282,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Washington Nationals48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012152.9%64 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49e…e5e8backed Washington Nationals48c781.25$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3759545.3%43 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals33c766.32$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.482,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Washington Nationals48c760$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.818649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Washington Nationals48c723.26$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1715149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals27c715.03$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.018,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals4c633.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Washington Nationals48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Washington Nationals48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals47c619.16$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.011,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afc…23c9backed Washington Nationals40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals27c571$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1278649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Atlanta Braves52c560$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.82,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves53c556.38$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.510351.5%53 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals47c535.03$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.466,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Washington Nationals26c526.62$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9224252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Washington Nationals48c520.85$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0148851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Washington Nationals31c504.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15517952.5%94 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be0…d726backed Washington Nationals48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Atlanta Braves52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24045445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals48c486$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.281,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd816…35d9backed Atlanta Braves58c485.4$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.891457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b22…9431backed Washington Nationals47c479.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.77360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Washington Nationals48c469$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1261250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals48c453$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4428347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Atlanta Braves65c449.96$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7935668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals27c441.41$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.181,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals23c429.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.524,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6206…00eebacked Washington Nationals48c425$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals47c424.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.751,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Washington Nationals48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals24c411.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2848660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals48c408.17$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9237052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves53c407.41$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4848147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1285,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dae…c996backed Washington Nationals48c391$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals48c390.74$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5637546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.62,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Atlanta Braves53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.368647.7%41 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37c8backed Atlanta Braves69c356.72$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.589570.5%67 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals47c351$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.972,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals26c335.79$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3125447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Washington Nationals48c333.31$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9928751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals47c331.8$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.951,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Washington Nationals48c320$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.623052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14458652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14457758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Atlanta Braves53c281.17$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1557548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Washington Nationals48c270.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7246152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals5c267.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e3…14c3backed Washington Nationals47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510155.4%56 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Washington Nationals25c264.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2552053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Atlanta Braves76c262$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.881,10079.6%876 W · 224 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Washington Nationals48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.