MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d64e803045e2d8244048597e166c6a46cf01d2fa1413303cc3a1e49b95f032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,587,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,787,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,587,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed New York Yankees | 72c | 250,859$180,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,232.19 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 114,615$69,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,250.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 97,440$25,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,690.1 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 72,494$45,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,351.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 58,065$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 55,979$21,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,147.15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 45,819$18,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,828.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 35,331$16,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,332.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 28,947$17,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,078.6 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…c61ebacked New York Yankees | 42c | 26,941$11,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,625.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…8f07backed New York Yankees | 40c | 24,736$9,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,850.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 22,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…3c07backed New York Yankees | 41c | 20,751$8,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 19,069$11,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,632.25 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 18,183$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Yankees | 43c | 13,986$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,976.2 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 13,340$8,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,808.25 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 12,892$7,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,445.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 11,755$7,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.51 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked New York Yankees | 37c | 10,900$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.99 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed New York Yankees | 41c | 10,521$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.25 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 74c | 9,213$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 9,187$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.26 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 78c | 8,610$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed New York Yankees | 74c | 8,113$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.34 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 7,285$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 6,312$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.06 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 6,158$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.54 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…724abacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,622$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed New York Yankees | 78c | 4,777$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.94 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,578$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 4,425$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,080$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 3,629$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,324$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.38 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 3,258$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.48 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 41c | 3,165$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,155$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 41c | 2,925$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.04 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 2,856$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 44c | 2,769$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.01 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 41c | 2,719$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 2,691$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked New York Yankees | 41c | 2,326$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.09 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…1d90backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,311$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 2,258$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.06 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 2,228$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 2,028$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.01 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Chicago Cubs | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked New York Yankees | 42c | 1,894$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.69 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 1,860$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,659$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 1,647$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,633$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,573$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 1,537$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed New York Yankees | 74c | 1,529$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.54 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees | 69c | 1,422$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e57cbacked New York Yankees | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed New York Yankees | 76c | 1,336$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed New York Yankees | 40c | 1,222$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,113$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.17 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed New York Yankees | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.69 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed New York Yankees | 35c | 930.23$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…6070backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…2d57backed New York Yankees | 42c | 890$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…3776backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed New York Yankees | 74c | 879.39$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…d2f0backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 833.93$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed New York Yankees | 42c | 832.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.85 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 829.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Yankees | 49c | 799.51$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees | 50c | 787.63$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 786.88$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.13 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 773.9$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.67 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Yankees | 79c | 764.81$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Chicago Cubs | 17c | 745.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…1f35backed New York Yankees | 41c | 725.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 724.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 692.1$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.21 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 650.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 649$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.93 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 628.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 607.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.