MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ae28d2aa6aef594f7756b3ca43f5c5be75edf138bb25e7c8de5335e3add9750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 45c | 219,999$99,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,199.5 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 53,078$28,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,415.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 56c | 35,535$19,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,664.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 24,192$13,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,128.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Under | 54c | 23,470$12,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,796.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 56c | 16,666$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.04 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 16,464$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,573.73 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 59c | 14,569$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,973.18 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 43c | 7,344$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Over | 41c | 5,985$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 45c | 5,532$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 41c | 3,420$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.2 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 41c | 3,138$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.53 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 1,595$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 1,099$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 868$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 45c | 800$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 42c | 797.97$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 57c | 714.15$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.08 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 62c | 713.91$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 640.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 545$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 538$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 467.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 418.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 47c | 412.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4752backed Under | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 383$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 55c | 338.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 57c | 337.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 47c | 332.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 47c | 199.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…ad47backed Under | 55c | 177.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 42c | 128$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 41c | 117.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 47c | 99.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 47c | 90.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 87.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 77.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 71.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 54c | 69.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 27c | 57.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 47c | 54.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Over | 47c | 51.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 44c | 48.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d744backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 38.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 32c | 37.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…1df8backed Under | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 57c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 44c | 23.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 57c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.