TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mark Lajalof Mark Lajal, Trevor Svajda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Mark Lajal23c21,420$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,565.668,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Trevor Svajda60c12,586$7,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,534.127167.6%48 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Trevor Svajda55c10,661$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,89071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mark Lajal40c8,200$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.784,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Trevor Svajda56c7,503$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.2441251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Mark Lajal29c7,004$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.5515225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mark Lajal57c6,883$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.71,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Trevor Svajda74c6,532$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.478,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked Mark Lajal13c5,688$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.351216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Trevor Svajda6c5,238$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc25…2d39backed Trevor Svajda47c4,684$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.862934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+68.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Mark Lajal21c4,449$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.0762956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Mark Lajal31c3,389$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.3636640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed Mark Lajal68c2,557$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.6313754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Mark Lajal56c1,772$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.8962457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Trevor Svajda67c1,689$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.613,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Mark Lajal17c1,615$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.5187741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Trevor Svajda65c1,600$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mark Lajal42c1,517$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.34,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Mark Lajal53c1,514$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.4870041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Mark Lajal27c1,465$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.4718636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Trevor Svajda48c1,400$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.5470652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Mark Lajal55c1,284$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.121,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Trevor Svajda63c1,200$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.5510664.2%68 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trevor Svajda47c1,127$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Trevor Svajda54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Mark Lajal49c999.99$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9936440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Mark Lajal32c943.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Mark Lajal29c939.94$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.931,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Mark Lajal46c922.4$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.7192352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mark Lajal39c909.14$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.648,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mark Lajal66c887.59$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.824,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mark Lajal34c845.29$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.842,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Mark Lajal34c802.47$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.9239451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Trevor Svajda42c799.72$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.649,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Mark Lajal59c784.25$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.73754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Mark Lajal60c718.06$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8220565.4%134 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd47…17dfbacked Mark Lajal43c704.69$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.393438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Trevor Svajda76c700$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Trevor Svajda48c662.7$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.323,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Mark Lajal34c617.81$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7739751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Trevor Svajda47c599.98$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.027,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Mark Lajal35c534.83$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4917224.4%42 W · 130 L-16.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Mark Lajal42c526.18$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2643054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Mark Lajal41c507.2$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5892145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Mark Lajal49c498.13$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0455360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Mark Lajal42c467.82$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3553657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Trevor Svajda73c456.08$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.53,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Mark Lajal50c454.92$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.461,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Mark Lajal22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Mark Lajal22c453.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.6531856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5615…3199backed Trevor Svajda77c450.98$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Trevor Svajda80c408.77$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.791,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e93…9145backed Trevor Svajda39c403.87$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.54332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Mark Lajal50c402.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.31,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Trevor Svajda61c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24214047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb20d…83aebacked Trevor Svajda49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.911060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mark Lajal39c375.53$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.46,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Mark Lajal35c366$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3115456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mark Lajal39c364.04$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.494,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Mark Lajal29c362.34$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3430246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Mark Lajal18c351.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4878847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Trevor Svajda76c314.49$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0662140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Mark Lajal60c300$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.96467.2%43 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Trevor Svajda73c298.94$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.963,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Mark Lajal42c289.15$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.491754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Mark Lajal29c285.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8439759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Mark Lajal29c281.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3144758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Mark Lajal29c267.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2135558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Mark Lajal8c260.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.995728.1%16 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Mark Lajal12c256.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.530055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Mark Lajal53c255.51$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8111765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Mark Lajal20c254.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2032,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Mark Lajal29c253.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8938459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Mark Lajal38c242$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2536154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Mark Lajal21c214.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9738141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mark Lajal35c208.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.65,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…819bbacked Trevor Svajda48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.054951%25 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Trevor Svajda70c206.51$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.842,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Trevor Svajda75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Trevor Svajda80c200$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0313661.8%84 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Trevor Svajda33c199.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.924,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…5d8ebacked Mark Lajal68c193.46$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.291978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Mark Lajal28c188.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2312947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7deb…808abacked Trevor Svajda34c185.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Mark Lajal45c180.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Trevor Svajda58c179.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.661637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Mark Lajal17c177.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8141544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Trevor Svajda61c157.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4930040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Trevor Svajda47c155.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.922,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Trevor Svajda61c154$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.327946.8%37 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Mark Lajal20c150.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2258048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Mark Lajal39c150$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7346957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Mark Lajal54c148.6$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.844442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed Trevor Svajda34c146.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Mark Lajal56c146.03$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.816755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mark Lajal27c130.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.546,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Trevor Svajda42c130$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Trevor Svajda78c127.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6117972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Trevor Svajda61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7213438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.