TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$847,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$829,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes47c264,380$125,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,140.636944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed No53c180,824$95,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,346.595650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No53c105,301$55,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,603.19454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No56c64,116$35,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,339.872,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked Yes47c62,197$29,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,232.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c49,349$25,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,493.813,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes47c43,732$20,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,5543644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c42,293$24,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,840.028,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No53c39,337$20,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,488.598763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,1003821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes32c28,092$8,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,954.62,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Yes47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,400450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes47c16,183$7,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6067556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes46c13,364$6,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,147.5319846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes47c13,215$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2115850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes23c12,259$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.7529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11de…bb27backed Yes47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No53c10,266$5,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,824.8412755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed No53c10,030$5,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,712.9875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9931643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes47c9,337$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes22c8,589$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.3410933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes47c7,774$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.724143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No52c7,606$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.536553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c7,311$3,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.545,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c7,294$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.551,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c6,740$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.51,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No54c6,190$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.2819952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes47c5,926$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.0649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes49c5,795$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.3428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No53c5,600$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,61316160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.764047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes47c5,298$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9610846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes26c5,196$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.5523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9834747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes16c4,617$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.8111039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.994626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9912646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c4,156$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.011,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7205851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.997244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No68c3,987$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.816735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c3,878$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.331,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes45c3,754$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.881,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed No54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Yes46c3,478$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No53c3,263$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.3355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No52c3,248$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.5215045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c3,239$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.283,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes20c3,000$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.414346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed No54c3,000$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3953342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No55c2,960$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.1875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Yes47c2,876$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c2,799$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.7331039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes23c2,430$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes38c2,387$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.191,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c2,076$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.81,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes24c2,060$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3117440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9203557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,936$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.771,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes47c1,930$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.117049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed No48c1,924$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.232157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No76c1,913$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7711354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes11c1,835$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.821,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes19c1,766$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4513748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes30c1,562$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4711338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes47c1,560$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6903756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fd…302ebacked Yes15c1,407$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.41442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes32c1,392$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.85540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Yes46c1,382$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes46c1,381$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.265164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes9c1,250$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.54714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes47c1,199$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.496350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe145…c561backed Yes46c1,150$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No64c1,126$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No64c1,109$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.0560156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No53c1,105$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.6716751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes17c1,104$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.769714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes26c1,072$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.436251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes48c1,035$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.2764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5678…b665backed Yes14c1,006$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes50c926$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9438233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4231546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes31c899.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27919447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes46c895.5$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.932564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.