Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34197dee1e537c189ffa66a74b8a197f3f5b764c0b96e9d3889d45ffa358b6c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fe6…abd4backed Yes | 29c | 63,715$18,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,248.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 72c | 22,419$16,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,277.26 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 71c | 18,288$12,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 16,867$12,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.55 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 13,349$10,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.51 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 6,071$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 26c | 6,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 28c | 3,286$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 72c | 3,200$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 19c | 2,604$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 2,057$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,862$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 1,609$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.71 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 983.56$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…611cbacked Yes | 28c | 867.94$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 28c | 797.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 12c | 791.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 7c | 605.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes | 28c | 533.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 28c | 529.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 409.57$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 27c | 399.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 27c | 384$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…7c2fbacked Yes | 28c | 380$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 28c | 353.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…81adbacked Yes | 24c | 323.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…1c50backed Yes | 20c | 278.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…67e2backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 208.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed No | 74c | 204.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 175.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…fcf0backed Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…fbacbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 28c | 157.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 76c | 149.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yes | 60c | 147.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 25c | 132.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 127.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 19c | 126.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 124.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 52c | 121.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 74c | 117.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 111.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…0eccbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 74c | 108.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…0ac1backed No | 73c | 102.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…506cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…e186backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…46fdbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…481ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…ab83backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 28c | 96.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 23c | 95.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Yes | 15c | 94.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…4a32backed Yes | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…bc16backed Yes | 42c | 72.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…5b9cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…0464backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…5435backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?this page
- Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.