TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57b7…fcf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$4.01
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.37
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$241.65
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.4%+$161.53
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,852.58
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$465.79
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.8%+$114.11
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+41.1%+$821.23
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$108.63
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$344
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$114.67
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+36.5%+$109.52
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+118.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$101.78
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.67
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.26
Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.1%+$270.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.71
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.