TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Associação Chapecoense de Futebolof Santos FC, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e8…88a4backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol71c5,664$4,027 inWon+$1,637.12065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Santos FC28c1,322$370 inLost-$370.081,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Santos FC2c1,092$21 inLost-$20.972,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Santos FC27c895.07$242 inLost-$242.032,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Santos FC28c747.2$209 inLost-$208.893,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Santos FC24c701$170 inLost-$169.5749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Santos FC25c655.63$165 inLost-$164.962,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Santos FC27c353.45$96 inLost-$96.4155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e6…a4b4backed Santos FC26c352$92 inLost-$91.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Santos FC28c245.62$68 inLost-$68.3464633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol73c226.79$166 inWon+$61.1946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Santos FC30c200$60 inLost-$605721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Santos FC28c160.85$45 inLost-$44.791,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol76c153.12$116 inWon+$36.755168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol72c128$92 inWon+$35.8417951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b3…e902backed Santos FC26c115.38$30 inLost-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol77c100$77 inWon+$2328443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Santos FC29c93.18$27 inLost-$27.0814753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Santos FC25c76.16$19 inLost-$19.041,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Santos FC23c69$16 inLost-$15.8729653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Santos FC29c67.78$20 inLost-$19.6969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol72c65.78$47 inWon+$18.4670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol72c59.82$43 inWon+$16.7540451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b7…fcf0backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol77c48.98$38 inWon+$11.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol74c36.37$27 inWon+$9.292,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol75c26.35$20 inWon+$6.598375.9%63 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol75c25$19 inWon+$6.2550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol75c25$19 inWon+$6.2535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol73c16.93$12 inWon+$4.5333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Associação Chapecoense de Futebol73c15.12$11 inWon+$4.0619164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Associação Chapecoense de Futebol72c13.89$10 inWon+$3.89540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.