TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,787 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Over57c1,500$855 inWon+$644.961533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over53c997.22$528 inWon+$468.775851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c975.43$476 inLost-$475.828,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c680.89$293 inLost-$292.7872350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc652…f9b8backed Under54c558.62$300 inLost-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c361.11$166 inWon+$195.095,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over62c242$150 inWon+$91.968887.5%77 W · 11 L+19.9wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+42%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c221.88$84 inLost-$84.3157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under44c181.82$80 inLost-$8013850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over43c131.91$57 inWon+$754770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under43c123.26$53 inLost-$537549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over36c112.52$41 inWon+$71.816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under59c107.03$63 inLost-$62.6264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over41c106.97$44 inWon+$63.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under43c104.65$45 inLost-$451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over40c85.03$34 inWon+$51.0282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under60c85.03$51 inLost-$51.021323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under44c56.98$25 inLost-$25.0722145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over74c54.62$40 inWon+$14.217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under51c52.4$27 inLost-$26.9814753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under26c50.77$13 inLost-$13.210935.8%39 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Over75c45$34 inWon+$11.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over52c38.18$20 inWon+$18.3846449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f9…9faebacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.