NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcafd949478611e348b6292c9818615b633309ceca231504ebbe11f6a69f58031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Celtics, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,509,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,737,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,509,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Timberwolves | 73c | 137,545$99,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,574.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Celtics | 28c | 100,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.99 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Timberwolves | 69c | 72,448$49,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,458.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 31c | 71,173$21,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,762.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Celtics | 30c | 68,300$20,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,673.75 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 42c | 57,363$24,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,303.63 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 31c | 50,310$15,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,714.14 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Celtics | 31c | 50,006$15,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,453.74 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Celtics | 32c | 50,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.96 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 29c | 41,107$11,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,720.92 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves | 72c | 40,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Celtics | 53c | 40,000$21,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,105.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Timberwolves | 78c | 38,638$30,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,375.84 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves | 71c | 35,401$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400.8 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Celtics | 32c | 31,689$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Celtics | 27c | 26,889$7,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,347.98 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Timberwolves | 49c | 25,638$12,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,111.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Celtics | 29c | 25,000$7,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.43 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Timberwolves | 68c | 24,053$16,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700.55 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 52c | 22,373$11,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,781.46 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Celtics | 34c | 22,169$7,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,571.29 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 30c | 20,941$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Celtics | 27c | 20,321$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,486.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 31c | 19,649$6,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.72 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 31c | 19,438$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.92 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Celtics | 19c | 18,754$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Timberwolves | 60c | 16,568$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.24 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Timberwolves | 70c | 15,962$11,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics | 36c | 15,945$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.14 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…c088backed Celtics | 35c | 15,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Celtics | 29c | 15,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.98 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Celtics | 17c | 14,704$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 30c | 14,364$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.32 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Celtics | 55c | 13,550$7,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,452.49 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Celtics | 62c | 13,294$8,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,242.12 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Celtics | 24c | 12,593$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.55 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Timberwolves | 69c | 12,238$8,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.07 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Celtics | 30c | 11,805$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.15 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 31c | 11,711$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.85 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Celtics | 26c | 11,156$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.49 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Celtics | 25c | 10,423$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.34 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Celtics | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Timberwolves | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Celtics | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Timberwolves | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Celtics | 30c | 9,967$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.02 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Celtics | 29c | 9,733$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Timberwolves | 71c | 9,563$6,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Celtics | 41c | 9,510$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.02 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Timberwolves | 38c | 8,974$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Timberwolves | 72c | 8,736$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.08 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Celtics | 50c | 8,602$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 8,200$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.96 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Celtics | 31c | 8,097$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Celtics | 26c | 7,518$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.89 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 7,204$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…9411backed Timberwolves | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 37c | 6,888$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.65 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d11…f279backed Celtics | 31c | 6,500$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Celtics | 31c | 6,450$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 28c | 6,384$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 31c | 6,112$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.31 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Timberwolves | 69c | 5,510$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.19 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Timberwolves | 76c | 5,399$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Celtics | 29c | 5,395$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.09 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Celtics | 31c | 5,248$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.97 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Celtics | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 5,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Celtics | 33c | 5,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics | 29c | 4,889$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.27 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 69c | 4,789$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.71 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 67c | 4,640$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.51 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 4,492$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.79 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 4,475$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.11 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Celtics | 27c | 4,412$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.11 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…4ab2backed Timberwolves | 60c | 4,402$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…c5eabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 4,350$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Timberwolves | 62c | 4,272$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 61c | 4,270$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Celtics | 31c | 4,217$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.25 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Celtics | 31c | 4,186$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.66 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Celtics | 32c | 4,179$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 32c | 4,161$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves | 66c | 4,150$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.03 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Timberwolves | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,000$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.95 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 3,960$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Celtics | 31c | 3,960$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Celtics | 9c | 3,799$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Celtics | 29c | 3,752$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 35c | 3,699$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.41 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 48c | 3,555$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Celtics | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Celtics | 32c | 3,400$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.86 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.