NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x591499544e328356e49abef6c6b53a72cdae5dc390f6c2f69617019e8e03c814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Timberwolves, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,675$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.84 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Celtics | 57c | 9,316$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.79 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics | 54c | 9,103$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.87 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 8,193$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 7,273$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Timberwolves | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 55c | 5,841$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.65 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,100$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.86 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Celtics | 57c | 4,934$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…50f1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 55c | 3,640$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…cf3abacked Celtics | 52c | 3,426$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,457$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.45 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,366$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,243$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,070$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,952$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.67 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Celtics | 55c | 1,730$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.47 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 927.3$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Celtics | 51c | 764.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves | 45c | 700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Celtics | 53c | 633.4$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 604.44$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 54c | 579.67$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 516.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 46c | 498.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.64 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Celtics | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Celtics | 56c | 355.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Timberwolves | 48c | 330.74$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 56c | 300.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Timberwolves | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Celtics | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Celtics | 51c | 269.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed Celtics | 54c | 230.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Celtics | 57c | 215$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1089backed Timberwolves | 49c | 214.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Timberwolves | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 198.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…66b2backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Celtics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Celtics | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 147.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 50c | 140.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Timberwolves | 41c | 137.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…0206backed Timberwolves | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Celtics | 53c | 126.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Celtics | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Celtics | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Timberwolves | 48c | 114.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Timberwolves | 49c | 99.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Timberwolves | 44c | 95.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Celtics | 59c | 94.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Celtics | 51c | 94.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Celtics | 57c | 92.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Celtics | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Timberwolves | 45c | 88.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Celtics | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Celtics | 58c | 87.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Celtics | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…4843backed Timberwolves | 49c | 80.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Celtics | 52c | 77.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 37c | 67.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 56c | 65.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 54c | 63.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Celtics | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Celtics | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Celtics | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Timberwolves | 45c | 46.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Celtics | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 43.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Celtics | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Celtics | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 39.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Celtics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Celtics | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Celtics | 61c | 34.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Celtics | 51c | 32.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Celtics | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…a121backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Celtics | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1b1abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 23.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Celtics | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Timberwolves | 53c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…db64backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…c93ebacked Celtics | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Celtics | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Celtics vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.