NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845f0358f90008d4269c362f9251526be113d7ec58e4d7ec39ff58611af028b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Clippers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,002,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,035,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,100 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Clippers | 15c | 250,006$37,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000.87 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Clippers | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…c088backed Heat | 69c | 49,755$34,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,424.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 69c | 37,000$25,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,470 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 69c | 35,000$24,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Clippers | 31c | 27,347$8,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,477.58 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Clippers | 0c | 26,231$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Clippers | 0c | 24,541$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Heat | 79c | 19,869$15,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.34 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…2e89backed Clippers | 2c | 16,360$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Clippers | 0c | 15,026$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Clippers | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 80c | 14,413$11,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.57 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Clippers | 0c | 10,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Clippers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Clippers | 25c | 7,693$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.41 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers | 16c | 7,377$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.4 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers | 28c | 6,768$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.09 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clippers | 31c | 6,425$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Clippers | 29c | 6,391$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.4 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Clippers | 31c | 6,251$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.68 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Heat | 79c | 6,001$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.43 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Clippers | 31c | 6,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.96 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cc…f9d2backed Clippers | 0c | 5,167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Clippers | 1c | 5,161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Heat | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Clippers | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Heat | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 70c | 4,621$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.78 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Heat | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers | 30c | 3,969$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.79 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Clippers | 31c | 3,936$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Clippers | 31c | 3,805$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.15 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heat | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Clippers | 16c | 3,472$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Clippers | 31c | 3,338$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.91 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Clippers | 31c | 3,333$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.23 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Clippers | 31c | 3,230$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.26 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Clippers | 2c | 3,222$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Heat | 70c | 3,215$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.53 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Clippers | 31c | 3,191$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Heat | 69c | 3,168$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.12 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Clippers | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…808dbacked Clippers | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Clippers | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.93 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Heat | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6b63backed Clippers | 31c | 2,800$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Clippers | 28c | 2,683$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.2 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Clippers | 30c | 2,502$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.61 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Heat | 69c | 2,429$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.57 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Heat | 69c | 2,377$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.88 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…dd41backed Clippers | 9c | 2,343$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Heat | 76c | 2,252$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Heat | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Heat | 69c | 2,109$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.89 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Heat | 70c | 2,021$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.26 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Heat | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Clippers | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Clippers | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Clippers | 6c | 1,919$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Heat | 70c | 1,838$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Heat | 70c | 1,828$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.4 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Heat | 68c | 1,627$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.96 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Heat | 74c | 1,627$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.65 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Clippers | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Clippers | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…c7e2backed Heat | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Heat | 77c | 1,598$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.76 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Clippers | 33c | 1,590$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.31 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Clippers | 31c | 1,585$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.35 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…977ebacked Heat | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…3c6dbacked Clippers | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Clippers | 32c | 1,470$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.39 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…1e93backed Heat | 69c | 1,460$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Heat | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a6…fab1backed Heat | 69c | 1,448$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…7b3dbacked Heat | 69c | 1,339$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.13 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Clippers | 1c | 1,282$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Clippers | 11c | 1,208$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…c986backed Clippers | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…5f8cbacked Heat | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Heat | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…f40dbacked Clippers | 32c | 1,188$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heat | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…e573backed Heat | 70c | 1,141$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.37 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 75c | 1,112$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Heat | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…ce8ebacked Clippers | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Heat | 74c | 1,083$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Clippers | 31c | 1,036$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.97 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Clippers | 11c | 1,008$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Heat | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…bdd3backed Heat | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Heat | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Clippers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…4009backed Heat | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Clippers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Clippers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Heatthis page
- Clippers vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.