NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c9ab7d858e24bd680f4a362a4c9f27a1396fe4a6b262857cb9d23250c0032c9

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Clippers
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,157,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,190,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,809 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Clippers	54c	942,029$510,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510,000	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Heat	46c	299,168$137,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161,550.75	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Heat	46c	152,614$69,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,920.46	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Heat	45c	78,085$35,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,646.55	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Heat	47c	75,595$35,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,310.13	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	46c	64,357$29,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,515.77	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Heat	46c	50,119$23,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,062.93	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat	46c	50,000$23,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,000	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Heat	46c	40,873$18,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,156.25	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	46c	30,350$13,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,390.3	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Heat	72c	30,004$21,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,414.15	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat	46c	22,000$10,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,880	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Heat	46c	16,000$7,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,640	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Heat	47c	11,802$5,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,313.51	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	47c	11,785$5,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,250.43	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Heat	46c	5,810$2,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,137.4	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Heat	47c	3,990$1,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,128.79	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	47c	3,853$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040.63	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat	47c	3,297$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,732.76	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Clippers	53c	2,830$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.4	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Heat	50c	2,788$1,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.47	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Heat	46c	2,500$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Heat	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Heat	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.99	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Clippers	51c	2,494$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Heat	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.99	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Clippers	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.98	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Heat	47c	1,645$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.85	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Heat	46c	1,500$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Heat	46c	1,500$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Heat	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Heat	46c	1,332$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.15	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Heat	46c	1,315$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.22	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat	47c	1,217$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.27	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Heat	50c	1,150$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Clippers	52c	980.4$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.81	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Heat	47c	822.98$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.18	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers	50c	790$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Heat	50c	620$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Clippers	50c	566.73$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.59	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Heat	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Heat	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Heat	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Clippers	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Heat	48c	376.61$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.3	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Heat	49c	373.2$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.33	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Clippers	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat	48c	355.43$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.37	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Heat	51c	320.61$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.61	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Clippers	51c	314$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.14	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Clippers	39c	297.04$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.48	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Clippers	52c	296.15$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat	47c	291.84$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.67	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Heat	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Heat	49c	244.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	232	48.7%113 W · 119 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Heat	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1009…9ad0backed Clippers	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Heat	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Heat	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Heat	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	261	50.2%131 W · 130 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd0…4516backed Clippers	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Heat	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Heat	48c	145.83$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.83	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Heat	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…c03abacked Heat	49c	112.24$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Heat	49c	112.24$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Heat	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Clippers	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Heat	46c	99.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.99	930	41.9%390 W · 540 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Clippers	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5da9…582ebacked Clippers	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fb…fbf8backed Clippers	53c	90.57$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Clippers	53c	90$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a7…84e8backed Clippers	53c	86.79$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Heat	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…3017backed Clippers	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc695…0371backed Clippers	51c	79.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Heat	48c	76$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.52	183	57.4%105 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4f…86b3backed Heat	47c	74.47$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.47	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd9…3e3bbacked Clippers	53c	62.26$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Heat	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Heat	51c	60.03$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.24	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Heat	49c	59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.09	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-6.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Heat	49c	55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.05	145	49%71 W · 74 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Heat	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Heat	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	174	44.3%77 W · 97 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Heat	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Clippers	45c	40.27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	216	51.4%111 W · 105 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Heat	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Heat	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	350	52%182 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Clippers	52c	32.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	162	53.1%86 W · 76 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Heat	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Heat	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6438…fadbbacked Clippers	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked Clippers	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-7.0wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event