NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6baba54d80706ed0b01c21e778edd70c32e81acac70fd831485927fe07e684c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,305,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,442,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,305,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 681 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 28c | 120,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.97 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Celtics | 28c | 91,355$25,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,800.99 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 71c | 73,462$52,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,385.41 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Celtics | 49c | 47,412$23,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,180.28 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Celtics | 63c | 39,479$25,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,457.14 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 56c | 38,124$21,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,773.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers | 75c | 32,396$24,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,378.74 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics | 29c | 30,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,299.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Cavaliers | 72c | 28,255$20,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,343.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 38c | 23,523$9,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,042.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 72c | 21,450$15,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,444 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 32c | 18,959$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,846.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 17,062$12,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,284.64 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Celtics | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Cavaliers | 71c | 14,859$10,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,549.86 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Cavaliers | 59c | 10,149$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Cavaliers | 14c | 10,092$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.52 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Celtics | 36c | 10,000$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385.42 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 71c | 8,752$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205.32 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Cavaliers | 57c | 8,600$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Cavaliers | 53c | 8,182$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.88 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Cavaliers | 54c | 8,030$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers | 2c | 7,919$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 40c | 7,470$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Cavaliers | 72c | 7,222$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.84 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Cavaliers | 72c | 7,080$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.67 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 7,019$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Cavaliers | 72c | 6,500$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.65 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 27c | 6,115$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 5,641$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.95 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 5,474$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Celtics | 65c | 5,102$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.18 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cavaliers | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.97 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 4,978$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers | 71c | 4,800$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.98 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 4,503$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.59 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 4,400$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers | 71c | 4,300$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.98 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…2a62backed Cavaliers | 72c | 4,169$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 49c | 4,046$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.42 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Celtics | 71c | 3,983$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.16 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Celtics | 52c | 3,845$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.13 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Celtics | 43c | 3,785$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Cavaliers | 71c | 3,779$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.89 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Celtics | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.7 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Celtics | 28c | 3,485$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.29 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 3,333$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.76 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 5c | 3,263$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Cavaliers | 31c | 3,169$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics | 29c | 3,050$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Cavaliers | 17c | 2,967$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.93 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 72c | 2,934$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Celtics | 27c | 2,870$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.99 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 1c | 2,840$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Celtics | 27c | 2,778$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.78 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,702$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.38 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…4c76backed Cavaliers | 7c | 2,699$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 2,639$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics | 67c | 2,606$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.51 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.96 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Celtics | 50c | 2,493$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.46 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,352$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,350$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.59 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 60c | 2,298$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Cavaliers | 72c | 2,167$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Celtics | 63c | 2,116$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.8 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 28c | 2,105$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.56 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Celtics | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.41 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.97 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…59d6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…7b3dbacked Celtics | 29c | 1,938$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.93 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 66c | 1,907$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.99 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Celtics | 28c | 1,857$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.92 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Celtics | 30c | 1,837$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.27 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,776$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Celtics | 29c | 1,652$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.72 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,624$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.14 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,572$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.23 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Celtics | 29c | 1,505$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.65 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Celtics | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Celtics | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.93 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,496$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,480$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.8 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 62c | 1,474$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.74 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,452$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.96 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cavaliers | 3c | 1,428$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 58c | 1,422$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Cavaliers | 40c | 1,398$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Celtics | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.08 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,300$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.99 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…b035backed Cavaliers | 8c | 1,273$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…2e90backed Cavaliers | 64c | 1,249$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.