NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617c22d50475a34e4e58a7d71fb3629d3d11e4f2266c89efef05f6424659d300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Wizards, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,351,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,467,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0140…9028backed Wizards | 16c | 55,338$8,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,608.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards | 33c | 50,229$16,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,511.54 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls | 51c | 46,941$24,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,813.48 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bulls | 69c | 40,855$28,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,778.91 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 36c | 33,653$12,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,219.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Wizards | 42c | 30,900$12,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.1 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 41c | 27,077$11,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,041.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…f3c2backed Bulls | 76c | 26,261$19,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Wizards | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.98 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 47c | 20,756$9,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,833.81 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Wizards | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 41c | 18,009$7,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.33 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Wizards | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Bulls | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 14c | 14,351$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.21 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards | 15c | 12,226$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.93 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 16c | 11,990$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.69 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 13c | 11,672$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.94 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bulls | 51c | 11,000$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.99 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 37c | 10,416$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.98 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 15c | 9,330$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 33c | 9,217$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.12 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Wizards | 50c | 8,425$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212.71 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Wizards | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Wizards | 25c | 7,342$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.88 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Bulls | 72c | 6,791$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.27 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bulls | 77c | 6,382$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.46 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls | 58c | 6,264$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.44 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 14c | 6,122$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.05 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bulls | 76c | 6,074$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.63 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 58c | 5,911$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.17 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…7e6bbacked Wizards | 35c | 5,841$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bulls | 66c | 5,555$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.7 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 10c | 5,277$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.69 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 15c | 5,100$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Bulls | 68c | 5,022$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Wizards | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Wizards | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 45c | 4,482$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.91 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 14c | 4,436$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Bulls | 68c | 4,132$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.35 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Bulls | 75c | 4,034$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.59 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 64c | 3,594$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.22 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards | 16c | 3,394$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.02 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 67c | 3,384$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.19 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Bulls | 73c | 3,282$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.43 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Bulls | 63c | 3,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bulls | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bulls | 75c | 2,633$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.27 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Bulls | 78c | 2,575$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.05 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Bulls | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…5d4ebacked Wizards | 16c | 2,499$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 65c | 2,347$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.47 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Wizards | 35c | 2,339$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.94 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 29c | 2,321$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.14 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Bulls | 67c | 2,200$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Bulls | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.21 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bulls | 67c | 2,100$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Bulls | 73c | 2,034$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.09 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Bulls | 51c | 2,012$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.76 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Bulls | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,896$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.74 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Bulls | 63c | 1,861$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.81 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bulls | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.14 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…2fc8backed Wizards | 14c | 1,831$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 15c | 1,754$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Bulls | 67c | 1,716$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Bulls | 69c | 1,705$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.44 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Wizards | 26c | 1,701$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wizards | 5c | 1,671$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 32c | 1,601$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.32 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Bulls | 50c | 1,600$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…deabbacked Wizards | 45c | 1,573$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.82 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Bulls | 64c | 1,568$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.66 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 43c | 1,529$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.62 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Wizards | 35c | 1,500$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked Bulls | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Wizards | 24c | 1,485$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.69 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Wizards | 21c | 1,431$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Wizards | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Wizards | 16c | 1,330$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Bulls | 70c | 1,322$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.39 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,300$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.05 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 27c | 1,256$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…2e90backed Bulls | 57c | 1,253$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 72c | 1,215$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Wizards | 33c | 1,207$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Wizards | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…e0dbbacked Bulls | 58c | 1,199$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 14c | 1,193$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Bulls | 60c | 1,178$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.01 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Wizards | 25c | 1,134$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Wizards | 36c | 1,091$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.58 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Wizards | 36c | 1,065$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…85d4backed Wizards | 1c | 1,056$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wizards | 15c | 1,050$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Bulls | 62c | 1,043$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.43 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 1,032$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Bullsthis page
- Spread: Bulls (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bulls (-13.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.