NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Magic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd26ac443a3ed17cc245dc0f06e1994244545ff34e90afa21bd4e081e056e767

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Nets, Magic
Resolved: Nov 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,589,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,505,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,589,436 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Nets	13c	614,588$77,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,729.6	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets	12c	118,674$14,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,021.89	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Nets	12c	65,064$7,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,789.55	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets	13c	60,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,800	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	67c	33,264$22,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,990.47	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Nets	12c	23,587$2,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,830.41	129	38.8%50 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd1…da1cbacked Nets	14c	20,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Magic	77c	17,775$13,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,150.73	152	74.3%113 W · 39 L	+22.2wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Nets	16c	10,000$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.28	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Nets	12c	8,500$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic	55c	7,769$4,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,484.19	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…4fdcbacked Nets	16c	7,399$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.37	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets	12c	7,302$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.2	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic	72c	6,943$4,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,977.99	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Nets	30c	6,608$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.83	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Nets	12c	5,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	144	34%49 W · 95 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nets	15c	5,449$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.64	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Nets	13c	5,231$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets	27c	5,023$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.2	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Magic	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	379	30.6%116 W · 263 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Nets	71c	5,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,569.52	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x258b…7859backed Nets	24c	4,631$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	45cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nets	67c	4,548$3,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,064.3	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Nets	27c	4,499$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa8…2e0dbacked Nets	38c	4,429$1,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,682.48	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets	27c	4,380$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.75	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets	34c	4,141$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,428.55	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Nets	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	181	42%76 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Nets	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686b…7d1cbacked Nets	15c	4,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic	66c	3,999$2,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367.6	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets	20c	3,935$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.49	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…48d7backed Nets	13c	3,900$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca70…6259backed Nets	38c	3,714$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.22	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets	13c	3,681$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.33	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Nets	31c	3,232$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.71	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Nets	32c	3,216$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.71	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets	30c	3,091$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.56	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Magic	60c	3,032$1,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.92	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd3…d500backed Nets	13c	2,966$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets	33c	2,765$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.81	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets	12c	2,648$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.64	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Nets	41c	2,628$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.77	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets	12c	2,595$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.42	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Nets	12c	2,400$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	167	30.5%51 W · 116 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Nets	16c	2,400$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.65	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Nets	19c	2,263$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.79	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Magic	70c	2,143$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.86	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x829f…ccfdbacked Nets	32c	2,080$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.67	173	53.8%93 W · 80 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Nets	28c	2,000$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Nets	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Nets	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets	29c	1,898$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.39	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97c…a418backed Nets	10c	1,845$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.57	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nets	13c	1,800$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Magic	69c	1,797$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.98	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nets	29c	1,705$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x558e…ce54backed Nets	15c	1,680$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Nets	30c	1,669$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	98	52%51 W · 47 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac2c…7774backed Nets	18c	1,600$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3560…e3e3backed Nets	12c	1,473$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…72bebacked Nets	14c	1,437$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…9464backed Nets	15c	1,431$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Magic	76c	1,312$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.78	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Magic	43c	1,280$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.6	480	46%221 W · 259 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets	13c	1,200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a0…b566backed Nets	25c	1,187$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Nets	18c	1,151$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.16	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Nets	15c	1,103$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf547…da11backed Nets	13c	1,077$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22bf…e561backed Nets	18c	1,071$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nets	14c	1,069$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.82	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Nets	23c	1,061$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Nets	72c	1,011$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.92	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	68cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Nets	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdacf…8d11backed Nets	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nets	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Magic	76c	999.99$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets	12c	993$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.16	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ca…ca43backed Nets	41c	971.56$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	115	75.7%87 W · 28 L	+11.5wins	+0.10per pick	66cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Nets	5c	969.62$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	216	5.6%12 W · 204 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets	2c	933.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…7145backed Nets	13c	923.08$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	60cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Nets	34c	882.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…3d3ebacked Nets	13c	863.64$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.27	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3597…bb13backed Nets	59c	851.08$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Nets	3c	834.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	345	24.3%84 W · 261 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nets	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	337	43.6%147 W · 190 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Nets	12c	829.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Nets	38c	826$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.88	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c25…7633backed Nets	12c	821.42$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.57	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Nets	13c	802.85$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.37	651	44.5%290 W · 361 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Nets	28c	800$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Magic	67c	791.06$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.05	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets	23c	776.54$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.6	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Nets	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1257…feebbacked Nets	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Nets	13c	757.14$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	134	46.3%62 W · 72 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Magic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event