TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb97c…a418

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST5717.5%10 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+203.8%+$336.1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.77
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$191.09
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+436.2%+$400.18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49.91
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$28.44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.23
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+297.1%+$74.82
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$73.23
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.87
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$34.75
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+408.9%+$73.19
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+57.1%+$88.24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+733.3%+$146.59
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68.62
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+255.7%+$90.01
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.3
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2931%9 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.15
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.18
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$146.4
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$41.45
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.76
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$177.75
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40.55
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+314.6%+$250.19
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$175.23
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$5.88
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$386.83
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+153.7%+$90.38
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+177.8%+$21.54
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.5%+$39.6
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29.59
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$125.97
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$237
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$92.4
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$56.18
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38.73
All 5 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$321.5
Troy Trojans vs. USC Trojansbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$137.96
American Eagles vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+162.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.36
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+106.7%+$88.76
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed Betera Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$133.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$250.68
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$9.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+51.2%+$293.38
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+28.9%+$16.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$107.81
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+809.1%+$123.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.