NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf056b7000573781b68509ba536cb1933ee36845728b3253ef5b9f479f44cdd53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Hornets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $732,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $756,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,005 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 76c | 30,497$23,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,361.76 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 33c | 18,335$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Hornets | 27c | 17,217$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.51 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets | 21c | 14,606$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.85 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Hornets | 23c | 12,740$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.18 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets | 24c | 12,543$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.36 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hornets | 24c | 11,955$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.2 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors | 70c | 11,578$8,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.24 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hornets | 28c | 11,139$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.13 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 75c | 11,120$8,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 21c | 10,949$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.27 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Hornets | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Hornets | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Hornets | 24c | 8,500$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets | 31c | 7,472$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.44 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 22c | 6,994$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.1 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Hornets | 26c | 6,950$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Hornets | 28c | 6,603$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.87 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Raptors | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Raptors | 40c | 5,020$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Hornets | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 25c | 4,890$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets | 24c | 4,814$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.24 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Raptors | 78c | 4,671$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.29 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 78c | 4,622$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.17 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Raptors | 77c | 4,475$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.73 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 24c | 4,082$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hornets | 25c | 3,761$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.24 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 26c | 3,735$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.47 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Hornets | 44c | 3,410$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Hornets | 19c | 3,410$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 76c | 3,283$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.84 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Hornets | 24c | 3,168$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.67 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 25c | 3,050$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hornets | 24c | 3,031$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.47 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Hornets | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 78c | 2,854$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.94 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Hornets | 24c | 2,616$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.93 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Hornets | 19c | 2,563$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Raptors | 80c | 2,376$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.25 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Hornets | 24c | 2,256$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.95 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 23c | 2,237$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.67 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Hornets | 27c | 2,223$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.32 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Hornets | 24c | 2,222$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.14 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hornets | 24c | 2,065$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Hornets | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Raptors | 75c | 1,884$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.41 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 24c | 1,839$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Hornets | 28c | 1,792$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Hornets | 1c | 1,687$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors | 76c | 1,625$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.03 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…d808backed Hornets | 22c | 1,588$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Hornets | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Hornets | 28c | 1,500$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 21c | 1,485$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…447cbacked Hornets | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 73c | 1,406$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.37 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Raptors | 80c | 1,400$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Hornets | 21c | 1,354$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Raptors | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.52 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Raptors | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…1a19backed Raptors | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b4a6backed Raptors | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Raptors | 76c | 1,314$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.4 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Raptors | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…cff9backed Hornets | 25c | 1,280$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…2f0cbacked Hornets | 25c | 1,240$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…7b3dbacked Raptors | 76c | 1,224$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 24c | 1,193$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…9004backed Raptors | 76c | 1,144$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Raptors | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed Hornets | 25c | 1,080$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Raptors | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Hornets | 2c | 1,046$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1527…120ebacked Raptors | 59c | 1,045$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Raptors | 76c | 1,017$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.08 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…fdecbacked Hornets | 24c | 1,012$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hornets | 25c | 1,010$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raptors | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Hornets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Raptors | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Hornets | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hornets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 23c | 999.92$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Hornets | 19c | 999.69$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Hornets | 20c | 988.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Raptors | 76c | 986.84$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Raptors | 77c | 986.76$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.76 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors | 68c | 983.67$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Raptors | 75c | 978.24$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 24c | 965.86$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Raptors | 80c | 854.81$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Hornets | 24c | 835.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Hornets | 41c | 802.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Raptorsthis page
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.