NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50eb4c548f0692223ea4e7b1475e61191c10feeea0b2e2804853677606aa135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Over | 45c | 1,626$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,289$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,229$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 977$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.78 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 55c | 830$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 52c | 574$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 573.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 46c | 166$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 57c | 145$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 44c | 123$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 105.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 44c | 86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 56c | 73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 52c | 34.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Over | 57c | 32.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc76…d76dbacked Under | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5this page
- Hornets vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.