NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3d618de90c42961674715677a4be4dc270abd6a96ab63a5e4ba7bbc43204c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,402,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,505,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,402,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Pelicans | 20c | 414,816$82,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,961.16 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Lakers | 80c | 165,383$132,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,076.55 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Pelicans | 20c | 124,091$24,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,577.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Pelicans | 18c | 87,720$15,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,981.01 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Pelicans | 19c | 58,177$11,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,053.72 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…eba1backed Pelicans | 21c | 29,052$6,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 2c | 26,041$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 8c | 23,496$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 80c | 22,107$17,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Lakers | 80c | 22,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Pelicans | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lakers | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Lakers | 80c | 19,345$15,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.07 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pelicans | 20c | 17,798$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.51 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 6c | 15,044$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lakers | 79c | 13,327$10,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.84 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Pelicans | 20c | 11,572$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans | 8c | 9,602$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.8 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Lakers | 80c | 9,100$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lakers | 80c | 8,403$6,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.39 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans | 19c | 7,841$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.79 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 79c | 6,094$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.82 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lakers | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 17c | 5,518$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.97 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 20c | 5,030$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.96 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 19c | 4,789$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.17 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Pelicans | 19c | 4,300$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Pelicans | 4c | 3,861$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 1c | 3,703$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans | 1c | 3,606$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans | 1c | 3,490$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 9c | 3,459$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…3749backed Lakers | 80c | 3,331$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lakers | 79c | 3,048$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pelicans | 19c | 3,007$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.41 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Pelicans | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pelicans | 3c | 2,944$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Pelicans | 19c | 2,700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Lakers | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Lakers | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 11c | 2,395$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 19c | 2,276$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers | 79c | 2,200$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans | 19c | 2,130$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.95 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Lakers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Pelicans | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Lakers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Pelicans | 10c | 2,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Pelicans | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Pelicans | 4c | 1,890$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,648$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lakers | 78c | 1,580$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.76 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,490$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Lakers | 79c | 1,322$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.52 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 17c | 1,315$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,295$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Lakers | 80c | 1,260$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Lakers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4a…21cbbacked Pelicans | 20c | 1,237$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.97 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,196$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 79c | 1,140$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 8c | 1,129$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Pelicans | 12c | 1,094$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…5eddbacked Pelicans | 20c | 1,065$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lakers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed Pelicans | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lakers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…c079backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Pelicans | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans | 19c | 999.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans | 10c | 979.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Pelicans | 18c | 974.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Pelicans | 15c | 861.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers | 79c | 854$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Pelicans | 21c | 843.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…1a3abacked Pelicans | 2c | 827.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…fd2bbacked Pelicans | 20c | 795$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Lakers | 79c | 750$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Pelicans | 20c | 659$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 19c | 648$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e54…f933backed Lakers | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…066ebacked Lakers | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pelicans | 10c | 610$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…90abbacked Lakers | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Pelicans | 19c | 599.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe322…7ff1backed Pelicans | 8c | 591.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans | 6c | 590$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Pelicans | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Lakers | 80c | 518.5$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pelicans | 20c | 517$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Pelicans | 20c | 510$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…d699backed Lakers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Pelicans | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Pelicansthis page
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.