NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45f1025e1523b5bb9996a7bf3274b4ba5139eaa0300c51bda6af4d2c2d7f3ff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lakers | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 53c | 24,480$12,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,954.35 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 48c | 16,748$8,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,694.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 9,836$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.54 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 52c | 7,876$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Lakers | 48c | 4,755$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.66 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 4,564$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.92 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 4,157$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.47 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,954$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.08 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 2,118$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Lakers | 47c | 2,106$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.18 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Lakers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,858$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.92 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Lakers | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pelicans | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 808$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.08 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 53c | 802.75$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.7 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 50c | 605.9$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Pelicans | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 46c | 589$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.53 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 52c | 472.73$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 52c | 438.22$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Lakers | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Lakers | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Pelicans | 53c | 403.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pelicans | 53c | 302$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pelicans | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Lakers | 48c | 249.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd005…56a2backed Lakers | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 46c | 209.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Lakers | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Lakers | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Lakers | 47c | 201$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…3aa8backed Lakers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Lakers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pelicans | 52c | 187.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 181.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Lakers | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Lakers | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Lakers | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Lakers | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Lakers | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Lakers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Lakers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Lakers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Lakers | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Lakers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Lakers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Lakers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Lakers | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Lakers | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…c6b7backed Lakers | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Lakers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Lakers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Lakers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Lakers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Lakers | 50c | 41.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Lakers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Lakers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…4da0backed Lakers | 48c | 41.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Lakers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Lakers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +43%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 39c | 34.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Lakers | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…785cbacked Pelicans | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)this page
- Lakers vs. PelicansLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.