NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f06235738be91c66e96106bad0009e4d8ffb7d1e499fdab361a89ea77205344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,717,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,492,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,717,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Hornets | 9c | 527,109$45,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,825.8 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Hornets | 9c | 218,095$18,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,809.56 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Hornets | 9c | 201,199$18,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,107.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Hornets | 8c | 41,053$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.27 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Hornets | 10c | 33,976$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.81 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 8c | 29,927$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hornets | 0c | 20,563$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Hornets | 10c | 16,207$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.84 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 8c | 12,865$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hornets | 9c | 12,809$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.83 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Hornets | 0c | 11,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Hornets | 11c | 11,041$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 10c | 10,100$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Hornets | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Hornets | 10c | 9,600$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.73 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets | 10c | 6,721$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.88 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets | 0c | 6,409$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets | 10c | 6,030$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.56 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 7c | 5,943$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 10c | 5,206$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.29 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…e935backed Hornets | 9c | 5,133$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.32 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hornets | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Hornets | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Hornets | 9c | 4,700$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hornets | 10c | 4,545$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Hornets | 9c | 4,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.96 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets | 13c | 4,180$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.41 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Hornets | 14c | 4,008$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.43 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Hornets | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Hornets | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 5c | 3,505$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 5c | 3,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Hornets | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 0c | 3,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 9c | 2,932$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Hornets | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Hornets | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…6cf7backed Hornets | 10c | 2,409$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Hornets | 8c | 2,113$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Hornets | 9c | 2,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Hornets | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 9c | 2,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 11c | 1,865$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…2314backed Hornets | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 5c | 1,698$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Hornets | 8c | 1,603$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Hornets | 1c | 1,567$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Hornets | 11c | 1,520$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…c4c0backed Hornets | 3c | 1,515$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets | 9c | 1,500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…26eebacked Hornets | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 6c | 1,208$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…1878backed Hornets | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…351fbacked Hornets | 2c | 1,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…6e97backed Hornets | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Hornets | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Hornets | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Hornets | 10c | 1,090$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets | 12c | 1,089$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…1906backed Hornets | 10c | 1,079$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Hornets | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Hornets | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Hornets | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ae23backed Hornets | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…c079backed Hornets | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b93…e6c8backed Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636b…8933backed Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Hornets | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…11a2backed Hornets | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…1612backed Hornets | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Hornets | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Hornets | 11c | 870.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets | 8c | 844.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Hornets | 3c | 841.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…4c92backed Hornets | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…ed41backed Hornets | 9c | 797$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…7304backed Hornets | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…1a3abacked Hornets | 5c | 683.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 4c | 675$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 11c | 658.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…5c30backed Hornets | 10c | 644.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 7c | 637.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Hornets | 8c | 606.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…12e3backed Hornets | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Hornets | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…a50fbacked Hornets | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…d559backed Hornets | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Hornets | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a8f8backed Hornets | 9c | 560$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Hornets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…78aebacked Hornets | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Hornetsthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Hornets won
- Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.