TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Notre Dameof Notre Dame, Pittsburgh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Pittsburgh19c50,691$9,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,631.2332745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Pittsburgh19c25,105$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.965639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pittsburgh19c24,971$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.416635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Pittsburgh18c22,284$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.1312718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dd…903fbacked Pittsburgh21c12,919$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Notre Dame79c8,806$6,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.222,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Pittsburgh21c6,135$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.711221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pittsburgh7c5,432$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh7c5,290$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.2621538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3fb…b8e1backed Pittsburgh19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Pittsburgh21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Notre Dame80c4,452$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.452449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Notre Dame79c3,726$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.5349443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh16c3,468$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Pittsburgh19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Pittsburgh5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Pittsburgh16c2,166$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Pittsburgh19c2,105$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Pittsburgh20c1,800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36034529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Notre Dame79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31565945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba24…195bbacked Pittsburgh21c1,450$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.19425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Notre Dame80c1,419$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.682454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pittsburgh21c1,234$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7838546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Pittsburgh19c1,192$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4747131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pittsburgh19c1,127$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.391,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Notre Dame80c1,080$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Pittsburgh19c1,055$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4522437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Notre Dame80c1,047$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.345440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Pittsburgh20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Pittsburgh12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Pittsburgh6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60254%1 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-81.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e5…d41fbacked Pittsburgh20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003119.4%6 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Notre Dame79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21010742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pittsburgh18c951.89$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0625629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed Pittsburgh3c949.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Notre Dame80c920.64$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…750cbacked Pittsburgh21c900$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e0…4510backed Notre Dame80c900$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Notre Dame80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pittsburgh18c800$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14217837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame75c793.47$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4958850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e7…aec1backed Pittsburgh21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Pittsburgh7c697.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.17476.4%3 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b5…b3cabacked Notre Dame80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253680.6%29 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame78c602.34$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3440244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh21c559$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3920757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh10c550$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5586243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Pittsburgh5c533.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Pittsburgh19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea1…4b8dbacked Pittsburgh21c506.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.451323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked Pittsburgh20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked Pittsburgh20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…6baebacked Pittsburgh4c495$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pittsburgh20c490.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Pittsburgh21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Pittsburgh21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005028%14 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Pittsburgh19c307.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5221629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Pittsburgh20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf14…502abacked Pittsburgh21c280.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Notre Dame80c277$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.413149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Pittsburgh19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pittsburgh21c250$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5223751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe930…99aebacked Pittsburgh21c239.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Pittsburgh21c235.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9044…6364backed Notre Dame80c226.55$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ab…343cbacked Pittsburgh21c219.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Pittsburgh20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Pittsburgh6c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Pittsburgh21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Notre Dame80c179.75$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9528440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh7c174$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1863243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Pittsburgh20c160$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.225819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x169c…30edbacked Notre Dame80c152.5$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pittsburgh21c146.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7118416.8%31 W · 153 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Pittsburgh21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5197…1992backed Pittsburgh7c141.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec7…329bbacked Notre Dame78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa843…8f3fbacked Pittsburgh21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…1790backed Pittsburgh22c116.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Pittsburgh20c106.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5726846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Pittsburgh19c104.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9524436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Pittsburgh20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed Pittsburgh20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6a…857abacked Pittsburgh20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199420.2%19 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Pittsburgh21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Notre Dame80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x707f…6fc4backed Pittsburgh23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad64…65efbacked Notre Dame80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Pittsburgh20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Pittsburgh21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb97c…a418backed Pittsburgh21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…a240backed Pittsburgh22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Pittsburgh21c90.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf34…caf1backed Pittsburgh25c80.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Pittsburgh20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Pittsburgh21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7513432.8%44 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Notre Dame80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e90…8339backed Pittsburgh20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.