South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783bb1ec9b9b0ec168b5243028c12950319aa8a1915ad19e454c334fcc616710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 6,258$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.64 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Yes | 30c | 5,100$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,074$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.71 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 36c | 1,515$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.34 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,180$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 1,162$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.64 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,137$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.54 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Yes | 30c | 1,021$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Yes | 29c | 864.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 34c | 710$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 685.4$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 632.26$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 527.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.28 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 31c | 522.81$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 27c | 379.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 29c | 345.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 22c | 318.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 72c | 255.65$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 70c | 251$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 30c | 205.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…017cbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 71c | 197$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…5040backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 169.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 71c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 70c | 76.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Yes | 78c | 72.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 29c | 68.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 75c | 64.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Yes | 29c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Yes | 30c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 51c | 38.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…3067backed No | 74c | 30.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…fe65backed Yes | 65c | 30.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 71c | 27.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 72c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.