South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754dd32a8946a0119b62d4a06d9e1627ab9380f391d682ca80d80ed191e627ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,492$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 499$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 457.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 68c | 209$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 67c | 193$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 67c | 178$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 67c | 117$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 106.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 32c | 99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7a3ebacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Yes | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Yes | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Yes | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…7aa6backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 40c | 27.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 70c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Platense win on 2025-11-17?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.