South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28dd38ce9800145a1459c89d2bd063f49879613f6ba78b29798b0354ae63ffba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 58c | 19,732$11,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.27 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…c30ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,104$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 929.09$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 13c | 761.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 7c | 410$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 37c | 357$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 39c | 315.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 61c | 282.72$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 63c | 276.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 60c | 275$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 38c | 264.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 212.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…ee3bbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 59c | 168$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…9978backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…28d5backed No | 62c | 121$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Yes | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Yes | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Yes | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 34c | 77.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 75.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Yes | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 34c | 57.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Yes | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Yes | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Yes | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 58c | 26.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…f4d3backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.