TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Arkansas vs. LSU

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LSUof Arkansas, LSU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$892,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,019,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed LSU64c522,135$336,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,387.3512549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Arkansas35c150,000$52,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,5006547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Arkansas36c136,656$49,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,560.3114752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Arkansas36c60,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,6005639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Arkansas37c50,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,50027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed LSU63c43,980$27,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,272.6516635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Arkansas35c25,346$8,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,867.6465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Arkansas35c24,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4006832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Arkansas36c22,787$8,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,203.365141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Arkansas57c22,271$12,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,793.151323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Arkansas35c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Arkansas35c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0007342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arkansas35c19,900$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas40c18,643$7,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,372.558850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Arkansas35c15,570$5,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,449.393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas36c13,391$4,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,811.292,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Arkansas36c13,167$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.125440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Arkansas37c12,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.9915745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed LSU64c7,813$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.57146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas40c6,561$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.4786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arkansas36c5,877$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.5922750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked LSU65c5,623$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.436656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Arkansas37c5,400$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed LSU57c5,148$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.2813933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked LSU48c5,128$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.0862843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed LSU63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.9929055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed LSU64c4,267$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas37c4,219$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Arkansas38c4,106$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.8826244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Arkansas36c4,078$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.453641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked LSU65c3,753$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.3129249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Arkansas35c3,571$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.8517443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked LSU67c3,214$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.484055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Arkansas36c3,187$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.0581847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked LSU64c2,839$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Arkansas36c2,408$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.3949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed LSU47c2,182$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.564744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed LSU63c2,179$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.0821348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked Arkansas54c2,148$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Arkansas35c2,136$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.341,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed LSU65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas35c1,800$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.7534529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed LSU65c1,692$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1552449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Arkansas7c1,428$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.963540%14 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Arkansas36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40b…d4a4backed LSU46c1,345$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked LSU62c1,312$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.0520039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed LSU61c1,309$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.9763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed LSU57c1,248$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9510555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Arkansas36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Arkansas35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42047131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed LSU55c1,134$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.31560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Arkansas12c1,131$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333%1 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Arkansas36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36016747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed LSU54c1,000$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked LSU45c871$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked LSU68c864.99$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27757144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Arkansas42c858.24$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.252931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…9965backed LSU65c818.5$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked LSU64c809.66$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5441…da3bbacked LSU65c804.6$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.572661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked LSU63c702.69$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3740541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Arkansas35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24525629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked LSU63c632$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8417361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Arkansas39c593.36$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.95556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed LSU63c567.44$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4510445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked LSU45c560$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3086163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Arkansas31c553.88$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.723751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Arkansas3c551.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.08694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed LSU64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a3…4ebebacked Arkansas33c499.92$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Arkansas35c477.82$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.245754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked LSU64c471.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed LSU59c416.25$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.456654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Arkansas36c415.3$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0154243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas36c401$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2840244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed LSU36c388.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.899142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabee…a726backed LSU65c380$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Arkansas36c375.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3510851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed LSU66c333.35$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.579341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed LSU65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.695060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked LSU67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9910848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Arkansas7c290.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LSU69c271.43$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.719842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392b…29d5backed LSU72c264.94$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Arkansas36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Arkansas34c250$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.57628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb6a…857abacked Arkansas22c230.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Arkansas55c226.72$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.571457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LSU70c221.18$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3221538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc557…6496backed Arkansas69c203.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a6…6044backed LSU65c200.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Arkansas35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked LSU37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265028%14 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Arkansas35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Arkansas36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7242244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a4…17e3backed LSU64c196.77$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed LSU61c196.58$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db5…4d00backed Arkansas51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked LSU51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.