NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac516082173eef85fa6df4eee9d47f6985e297fc7b93fd648d7d3a5d43cffb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Magic, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,966,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,461,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,966,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Rockets | 57c | 204,583$116,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,421.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe6…abd4backed Magic | 48c | 177,631$85,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,402.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Rockets | 76c | 111,792$85,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,371.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Magic | 47c | 82,293$38,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,797.03 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets | 62c | 80,000$49,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,200 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 25c | 69,520$17,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,486.59 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 35c | 68,641$23,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,748.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Rockets | 70c | 48,594$33,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,602.04 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.08 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Magic | 27c | 36,502$9,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,855.62 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 74c | 30,186$22,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.06 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 34c | 30,169$10,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,113.82 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Rockets | 52c | 28,717$14,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,722.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 26c | 28,041$7,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,241.28 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…81b1backed Rockets | 74c | 27,166$20,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 47c | 26,453$12,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,343.84 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 48c | 25,254$12,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,006.21 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 25c | 25,078$6,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,264.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rockets | 74c | 25,000$18,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 42c | 24,252$10,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,221.49 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 26c | 23,300$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,058.12 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Rockets | 74c | 22,978$17,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.78 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Rockets | 75c | 22,800$17,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Rockets | 75c | 22,766$17,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Rockets | 73c | 20,256$14,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Magic | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Magic | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.99 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Rockets | 51c | 19,678$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,678.03 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Magic | 63c | 19,247$12,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,188.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 25c | 18,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.96 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Magic | 26c | 17,458$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.16 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Rockets | 72c | 15,255$11,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.94 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Magic | 65c | 15,157$9,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,841 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 24c | 12,938$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.76 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 25c | 12,500$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Rockets | 71c | 12,000$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…82a9backed Magic | 49c | 11,296$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…90a8backed Rockets | 75c | 11,051$8,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Magic | 42c | 11,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 75c | 10,795$8,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.79 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 65c | 10,152$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.58 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…961cbacked Rockets | 74c | 9,640$7,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Magic | 24c | 9,486$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.36 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Magic | 25c | 9,140$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Rockets | 60c | 8,465$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.77 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…1ffdbacked Magic | 40c | 8,383$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rockets | 75c | 8,361$6,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 59c | 8,324$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.77 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 4c | 8,014$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…9331backed Rockets | 73c | 8,003$5,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Rockets | 64c | 7,914$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.6 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked Rockets | 59c | 7,904$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 38c | 7,821$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.53 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets | 67c | 7,469$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.9 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 42c | 7,401$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.57 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic | 40c | 7,300$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.8 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…d672backed Rockets | 46c | 7,174$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Rockets | 74c | 7,000$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Rockets | 74c | 6,715$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.75 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Magic | 73c | 6,169$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.6 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 26c | 5,700$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 27c | 5,624$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.48 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 55c | 5,609$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.25 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 43c | 5,593$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Magic | 11c | 5,542$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 46c | 5,408$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.19 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 25c | 5,183$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.67 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 25c | 5,175$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.37 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 56c | 5,153$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Magic | 41c | 5,050$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Rockets | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Magic | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 49c | 4,887$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.74 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Rockets | 48c | 4,684$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.71 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 49c | 4,611$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.45 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Rockets | 54c | 4,607$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.78 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Magic | 26c | 4,582$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.58 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Rockets | 66c | 4,580$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 23c | 4,556$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.85 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 25c | 4,437$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.46 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…4d23backed Rockets | 52c | 4,308$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rockets | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Rockets | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Rockets | 61c | 3,849$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.53 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets | 46c | 3,806$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.48 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Magic | 25c | 3,731$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.58 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Rockets | 45c | 3,628$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.26 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Rockets | 54c | 3,223$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.86 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…73d8backed Rockets | 77c | 3,200$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…5325backed Magic | 24c | 3,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Rockets | 58c | 3,200$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.31 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…e5b6backed Rockets | 68c | 3,159$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Magic | 24c | 3,132$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.21 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 58c | 3,081$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.35 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 25c | 3,075$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.6 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f00…8982backed Rockets | 64c | 3,070$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.85 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 40c | 3,051$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.61 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Rockets | 74c | 3,003$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.7 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d44…53fdbacked Magic | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…7f88backed Rockets | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Rocketsthis page
- Magic vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.