Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd500fb358aba2af326aebc5c1bf08e5705a2e96f2ca99efaff3bd7637a14d066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona State Sun Devilsof Arizona State Sun Devils, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 2,197$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 894.14$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 37c | 872.09$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 42c | 755.21$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.02 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 727.83$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 721.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.63 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 45c | 574.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 32c | 521.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.35 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 412.66$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…6e1ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 320$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 48c | 290.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 65c | 276.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 252.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 246.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…ab3bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 74c | 242.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 241.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 219.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…a28ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 43c | 214$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 21c | 204.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 202.04$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…ef0bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 59c | 201.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 42c | 185$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…edffbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 12c | 177.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 176.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 48c | 172.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 169.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…4400backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 63c | 142.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…c189backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…2f2ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 46c | 131.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 44c | 126.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 116$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…3859backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 37c | 109$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…87f8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 104.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 44c | 100.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 93.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 54c | 87.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 85.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…6b2abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 48c | 83.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 35c | 82.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 44c | 72.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…d0f6backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 43.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 43.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…1669backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 28.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…8460backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 43c | 25.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 23.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…30e5backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 71c | 18.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.