Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. USC Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb513a9cc8d83a6c569ebb18f7867f130a0018f9e7b612569501734f80f459e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USC Trojansof Troy Trojans, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5712…16fdbacked Troy Trojans | 0c | 13,430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Troy Trojans | 21c | 7,250$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Troy Trojans | 53c | 4,123$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Trojans | 78c | 3,023$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.87 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans | 56c | 2,377$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Troy Trojans | 2c | 1,327$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Troy Trojans | 10c | 936.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked USC Trojans | 47c | 931.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked USC Trojans | 27c | 923.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.55 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed USC Trojans | 54c | 904$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.71 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans | 52c | 816.74$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.21 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Troy Trojans | 42c | 815.71$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.36 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC Trojans | 62c | 683$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…6e1ebacked Troy Trojans | 72c | 644.47$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed USC Trojans | 38c | 545.05$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.82 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Troy Trojans | 54c | 500.85$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked USC Trojans | 54c | 450.52$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Troy Trojans | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked USC Trojans | 27c | 241.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Troy Trojans | 64c | 235.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f11…87f8backed USC Trojans | 72c | 234.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Troy Trojans | 59c | 234.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked USC Trojans | 43c | 219.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed USC Trojans | 25c | 206.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked USC Trojans | 34c | 200.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Troy Trojans | 8c | 198.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed USC Trojans | 36c | 167.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Troy Trojans | 32c | 157.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed USC Trojans | 27c | 151.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked USC Trojans | 35c | 141.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans | 74c | 124.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…ef0bbacked Troy Trojans | 58c | 102.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed USC Trojans | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed Troy Trojans | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Troy Trojans | 34c | 95.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Troy Trojans | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed USC Trojans | 28c | 81.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked Troy Trojans | 74c | 81.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Troy Trojans | 75c | 80.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Troy Trojans | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked USC Trojans | 79c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…edffbacked USC Trojans | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed USC Trojans | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Troy Trojans | 61c | 43.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed USC Trojans | 35c | 42.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Troy Trojans | 35c | 42.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Troy Trojans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Troy Trojans | 58c | 35.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed USC Trojans | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Troy Trojans | 80c | 32.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked USC Trojans | 56c | 20.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.