TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Jazz, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$893,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$843,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe756…e006backed Jazz32c89,497$28,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,321.7832827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz13c71,207$9,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,590.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors69c57,597$39,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,980.3838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz14c34,540$4,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.142,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Jazz21c34,274$7,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,333.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors75c33,151$24,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,229.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz1c19,607$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Jazz28c17,567$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz13c15,500$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0151,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Jazz14c14,419$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0788846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e81…f02ebacked Jazz0c13,632$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Jazz12c13,317$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.028827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeff7…4bb3backed Jazz11c12,731$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4452733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz2c11,958$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.311,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz6c11,914$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.1285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz7c11,768$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd8…6203backed Jazz7c11,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.988650%43 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…644ebacked Jazz5c8,513$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Warriors74c8,313$6,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.2622243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jazz13c8,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz14c8,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Jazz12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9513345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Warriors79c7,476$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.792,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Jazz5c6,249$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.441421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors79c5,550$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1921,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz24c5,369$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Jazz10c5,161$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.958863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x888c…e9ecbacked Jazz1c5,070$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+67.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz3c5,025$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.734573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Jazz13c5,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors78c4,862$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.4526038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Jazz13c4,733$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2415443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Warriors73c4,409$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9314551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors79c4,397$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.861,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Jazz14c4,380$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz9c4,112$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.581,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Jazz1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Jazz13c3,879$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.2134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jazz22c3,842$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.4148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98c4…f3e2backed Jazz14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc11…918ebacked Jazz2c3,520$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.823452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz14c3,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Jazz29c3,421$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.6715950.3%80 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz17c3,313$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Jazz3c3,205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.967433.8%25 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc90…ec0cbacked Jazz4c3,122$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140160%0 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz29c3,009$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.166744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz25c2,937$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.552,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz12c2,878$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6361835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Warriors77c2,781$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.9885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors76c2,509$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.193,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Jazz14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Jazz14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Jazz12c2,500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29556945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2d…74ccbacked Jazz12c2,445$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.985356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Jazz20c2,428$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.513345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jazz13c2,038$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8260834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…757fbacked Jazz3c2,020$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…d8a7backed Jazz13c1,999$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Jazz10c1,800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9716346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc7…186fbacked Jazz13c1,769$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010933.9%37 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c1,658$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.187211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddd…166cbacked Jazz30c1,649$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Jazz8c1,600$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0915838.6%61 W · 97 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Jazz17c1,502$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3647134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Jazz13c1,484$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006250%31 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Jazz11c1,472$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7518140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Jazz14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5341…2b42backed Jazz14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfad6…9e70backed Jazz13c1,308$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f4b…e0dbbacked Jazz10c1,288$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.22759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x467e…4343backed Jazz13c1,280$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.43630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz13c1,236$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8984…8af8backed Jazz13c1,222$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.862070%14 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Warriors71c1,199$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb927…148abacked Jazz13c1,190$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62a…7c64backed Jazz15c1,120$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz13c1,110$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.92,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Jazz28c1,089$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41dc…57e5backed Jazz13c1,077$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Jazz14c1,036$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14527145.4%123 W · 148 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz20c1,028$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.21,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Jazz31c1,012$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.432755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Jazz28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41e…2dfcbacked Jazz13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Jazz3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Jazz30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Jazz14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe24c…fde7backed Jazz3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Jazz12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…5275backed Jazz9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a80…44e7backed Jazz2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+202.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.