TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Warriors, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a1…e03abacked Jazz52c132,704$69,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,2005952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Warriors50c76,233$37,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,318.5559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors46c36,315$16,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,522.941,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Jazz50c17,231$8,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,615.512334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors48c14,816$7,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,672.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors48c13,066$6,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,824.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Warriors50c8,310$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,15543051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719f…db30backed Warriors51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bf…429abacked Jazz49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Warriors45c7,353$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,02818536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Warriors49c6,798$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.7515443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz54c6,396$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5503,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Warriors47c4,450$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.52,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Jazz50c2,632$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.055644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors46c2,365$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.42,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Warriors50c2,012$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.182,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Jazz50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Warriors49c1,757$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.842,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac28…b1a5backed Jazz35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.161,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Warriors50c1,363$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jazz55c1,141$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.7452460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Warriors51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3914156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Warriors51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors36c767.75$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.213,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Jazz46c740$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…3aa8backed Jazz76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Jazz51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…9ecabacked Jazz50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Warriors54c379.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.819845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Warriors48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors51c282.86$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee6f…3859backed Jazz49c242.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Jazz49c164.73$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7326651.1%136 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Jazz50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Warriors47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.535447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Warriors50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756541.5%27 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Jazz51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7511951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Jazz52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5237850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Warriors50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Jazz51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5134447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Warriors51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.048155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Jazz54c92.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Warriors50c91.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.727143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors48c81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Warriors56c79.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23dc…b9c8backed Warriors71c67.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors49c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Warriors50c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5123348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Jazz45c61.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8227247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz46c61.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.382,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Jazz50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Jazz50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Warriors51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.990560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Jazz51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Warriors46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2780744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a2…0ff7backed Jazz50c45.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.755644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Jazz49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed Warriors50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a7…3ec1backed Warriors55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Warriors51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2219150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3175…5916backed Jazz51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Warriors50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.518357.4%105 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…f0cbbacked Warriors52c38.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.283842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf275…7050backed Jazz55c36.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.047955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Jazz50c34.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Warriors49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Warriors49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8163backed Warriors52c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd94b…f42bbacked Jazz68c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Warriors49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Jazz50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122342.2%94 W · 129 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Jazz60c20.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Jazz50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…701fbacked Warriors51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82850%14 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…b09ebacked Jazz50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.