NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4e4188f6bfad425de6759629367c05b3b6443799189e768748cd42e059ed4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 20c | 14,951$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.64 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Islanders | 45c | 12,859$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.24 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Red Wings | 54c | 11,478$6,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,198.38 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Red Wings | 0c | 7,029$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 44c | 6,111$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 46c | 6,108$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Red Wings | 54c | 5,448$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.77 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings | 26c | 5,342$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.97 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Red Wings | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.95 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 53c | 4,647$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.94 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Islanders | 51c | 4,147$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.5 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 20c | 4,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Islanders | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Wings | 20c | 3,777$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.4 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 0c | 3,354$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Islanders | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 30c | 2,294$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Islanders | 45c | 2,279$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.29 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Islanders | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Red Wings | 13c | 1,939$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,908$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,737$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Wings | 8c | 1,710$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,649$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.95 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 46c | 1,543$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.48 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…054fbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Red Wings | 11c | 1,206$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…bbb1backed Islanders | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 60c | 1,179$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.77 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Red Wings | 34c | 1,178$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.68 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,119$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.28 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Islanders | 76c | 1,008$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Islanders | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 45c | 1,000$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Wings | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Islanders | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Islanders | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Islanders | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…4312backed Islanders | 45c | 849.18$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Red Wings | 55c | 780$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 55c | 776.52$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.52 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…6cefbacked Red Wings | 55c | 774.95$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Islanders | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Red Wings | 21c | 739.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…aa01backed Red Wings | 55c | 738.8$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Red Wings | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 28c | 697.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Red Wings | 21c | 684.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Islanders | 46c | 677.93$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.08 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5158…9dd2backed Islanders | 45c | 665.4$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Red Wings | 55c | 639.6$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Islanders | 46c | 570$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Wings | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Red Wings | 55c | 540$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Islanders | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Red Wings | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Red Wings | 26c | 488.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Islanders | 63c | 476.58$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Islanders | 78c | 420$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…0305backed Red Wings | 3c | 400.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Islanders | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Red Wings | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Red Wings | 19c | 387$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Red Wings | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 55c | 360$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…5c30backed Islanders | 45c | 356.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Red Wings | 56c | 342.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings | 55c | 322$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Red Wings | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Red Wings | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Red Wings | 55c | 259.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Islanders | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Red Wings | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Islanders | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Red Wings | 43c | 245.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Islanders | 45c | 243.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Red Wings | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Red Wings | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 63c | 221.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Islanders | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Islanders | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Islanders | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 47c | 215.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 76c | 215$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Islanders | 45c | 205.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Islanders | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Islanders | 46c | 197.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Red Wings | 54c | 196.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.