College Football · resolved market
Clemson vs. Louisville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x472af24d3628d8203e277af805620da5f593365c9ffcdff1d0b9bd453dd7f351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemsonof Clemson, Louisville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,686,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,678,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,686,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 845 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Louisville | 56c | 1,154,894$645,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645,740.68 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Louisville | 56c | 899,019$500,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500,000.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clemson | 45c | 826,598$371,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455,010.39 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Clemson | 44c | 681,000$299,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381,360 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Clemson | 44c | 617,769$271,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345,950.63 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Louisville | 55c | 400,000$219,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,516.54 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Louisville | 55c | 300,000$164,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,999.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Clemson | 46c | 277,310$126,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,887.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clemson | 45c | 235,521$105,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,536.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Clemson | 45c | 128,388$58,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,350.43 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…f55ebacked Louisville | 56c | 126,000$70,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisville | 55c | 116,335$64,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,421.53 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Clemson | 45c | 104,535$47,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,494.11 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Clemson | 46c | 99,660$45,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,691.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Clemson | 45c | 98,634$44,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,248.71 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville | 55c | 81,459$44,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,904.74 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Louisville | 55c | 75,000$41,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clemson | 46c | 61,031$28,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,750.21 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Louisville | 55c | 58,430$32,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,026.47 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Clemson | 44c | 52,670$23,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,494.95 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Louisville | 54c | 46,769$25,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,255.05 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Louisville | 55c | 39,720$21,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,846.13 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Louisville | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clemson | 44c | 28,179$12,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,770.02 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Louisville | 54c | 27,886$15,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,145 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Clemson | 46c | 25,908$11,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,061.54 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Clemson | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.97 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Clemson | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.95 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clemson | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Clemson | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Clemson | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.99 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Clemson | 44c | 17,500$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clemson | 45c | 17,235$7,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,479.13 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Louisville | 56c | 17,000$9,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Clemson | 45c | 16,500$7,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.21 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Louisville | 63c | 16,343$10,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,367.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Clemson | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Clemson | 38c | 14,110$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,798.41 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Clemson | 46c | 13,173$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,113.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Louisville | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Louisville | 56c | 11,338$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Clemson | 45c | 10,463$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisville | 44c | 10,399$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.48 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Clemson | 46c | 10,127$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Louisville | 55c | 9,026$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Clemson | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Louisville | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…4505backed Louisville | 54c | 8,990$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville | 43c | 8,419$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.97 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Louisville | 70c | 8,100$5,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Clemson | 44c | 7,777$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Clemson | 45c | 7,411$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.11 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clemson | 44c | 7,274$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.44 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville | 50c | 7,271$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.49 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clemson | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb0…7157backed Louisville | 56c | 6,421$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e7…4ad6backed Clemson | 44c | 6,414$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Louisville | 54c | 6,250$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.55 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville | 45c | 6,174$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.19 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…950bbacked Louisville | 48c | 6,025$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Louisville | 36c | 5,841$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Clemson | 45c | 5,542$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.25 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Louisville | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Clemson | 45c | 5,400$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.83 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Louisville | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clemson | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Louisville | 42c | 4,794$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.69 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Louisville | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…1ef4backed Louisville | 55c | 3,822$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clemson | 44c | 3,783$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.11 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Clemson | 43c | 3,553$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.11 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clemson | 45c | 3,503$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.9 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Clemson | 45c | 3,366$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Clemson | 45c | 3,322$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clemson | 48c | 3,239$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.73 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Louisville | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Clemson | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Clemson | 45c | 2,955$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Louisville | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Louisville | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisville | 35c | 2,665$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.96 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisville | 46c | 2,621$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.9 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Louisville | 65c | 2,506$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Louisville | 55c | 2,500$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Clemson | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Clemson | 46c | 2,478$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.26 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clemson | 36c | 2,472$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.87 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Louisville | 57c | 2,374$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Louisville | 2c | 2,305$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Louisville | 56c | 2,300$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisville | 49c | 2,242$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.97 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked Louisville | 56c | 2,208$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Louisville | 55c | 2,199$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Louisville | 65c | 2,088$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Louisville | 53c | 2,072$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Louisville | 74c | 2,036$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Louisville | 54c | 2,004$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Louisville | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Clemson | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Louisville | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson vs. Louisvillethis page
- Clemson vs. Louisville: 1H MoneylineClemson won
- Clemson vs. Louisville: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville (-2.5)Clemson won
- Spread: Louisville (-3.5)Clemson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.