College Football · resolved market
O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d603fc93c9c9f853679cabf6d4d0a43d9cf1931acac6a90daf684365f691a07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $820,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $828,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $820,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Over | 50c | 632,867$314,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314,655.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Under | 51c | 279,730$142,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,067.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Over | 49c | 140,000$68,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,600 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 50c | 110,876$55,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,438 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 23,073$11,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,554.19 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 50c | 21,272$10,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608.75 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 51c | 18,433$9,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,032.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 10,567$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.98 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 6,390$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 5,010$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.1 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 51c | 3,666$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.34 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 2,409$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.32 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…ff56backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 51c | 1,990$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.2 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 52c | 1,900$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 1,828$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.55 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Under | 53c | 1,600$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,415$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.67 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 51c | 476.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 423.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Under | 56c | 396.43$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 53c | 337$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Over | 50c | 237.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 119.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…eaefbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…2597backed Over | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…016dbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…1f39backed Under | 54c | 43.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…56e9backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 46c | 23.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…9328backed Under | 54c | 23.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 51.5this page
- Clemson vs. LouisvilleClemson won
- Clemson vs. Louisville: 1H MoneylineClemson won
- Clemson vs. Louisville: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville (-2.5)Clemson won
- Spread: Louisville (-3.5)Clemson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.