College Football · resolved market
Clemson vs. Louisville: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x955c70ab92baddeed570a608fed1ea8260cd2cc9c87bdb61edfb1e2976546b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 49c | 20,500$10,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,369.89 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 14,051$7,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320.77 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 53c | 10,508$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 9,015$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 51c | 8,280$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.8 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under | 48c | 4,489$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.07 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 2,221$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.6 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Under | 49c | 1,831$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 55c | 1,825$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 51c | 1,382$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.82 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 542.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Over | 50c | 416$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 219$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…9b8dbacked Over | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 47c | 98.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…5786backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Under | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 53c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 40.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…173bbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe9abacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson vs. Louisville: O/U 50.5this page
- Clemson vs. LouisvilleClemson won
- Clemson vs. Louisville: 1H MoneylineClemson won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville (-2.5)Clemson won
- Spread: Louisville (-3.5)Clemson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.