South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d5190b55ca3afc7233bfe8eb1cefe0e0101f9c71def551c5f495eae8421cb9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 23c | 100,000$23,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,349.95 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 77c | 36,690$28,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,517.53 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 15,879$11,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.93 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 30c | 6,922$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.75 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 10c | 6,160$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.3 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 58c | 3,219$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.15 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 69c | 2,890$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 24c | 2,640$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.2 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 2,525$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.85 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 2,359$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.1 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 77c | 2,340$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.95 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 74c | 1,762$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,716$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 28c | 1,586$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 70c | 1,195$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.58 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 1,068$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,044$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.59 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…a418backed Yes | 66c | 865.88$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 820.42$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.62 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 22c | 799.65$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Yes | 72c | 765.47$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 718.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 15c | 667.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.77 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 72c | 583.35$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 550.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 21c | 487.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 18c | 471.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 18c | 442.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 74c | 400$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…e714backed Yes | 64c | 393.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 14c | 390$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.4 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 26c | 375.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 355.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 31c | 320.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…14dcbacked Yes | 72c | 293.28$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 75c | 278.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 43c | 231.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 31c | 228.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Yes | 70c | 215.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…6630backed Yes | 75c | 214.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Yes | 57c | 195.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 70c | 192.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 177$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…6020backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 72c | 155.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 34c | 137.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 68c | 130.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 17c | 118.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…005dbacked Yes | 16c | 103.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 76c | 97.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked No | 44c | 88.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 85.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 35c | 85.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 67c | 83.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…702bbacked Yes | 73c | 82.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…6876backed Yes | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…fd2cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…ef0bbacked Yes | 70c | 71.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…bdc9backed Yes | 69c | 65.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes | 69c | 62.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 64c | 54.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 78c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 73c | 50.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…6f2abacked No | 25c | 48.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…e326backed No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…5593backed Yes | 70c | 42.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 79c | 35.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes | 80c | 30.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked Yes | 69c | 30.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Yes | 57c | 24.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…d0f6backed No | 47c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 77c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0e…fec5backed No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?this page
- Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.